Thoughts on the AI Bubble
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11/19/2025, 5:08:48 PM
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The real problem is --- progress toward this "breakthrough" is not happening. Instead, the evidence shows that most of the easily available data has already been consumed and capabilities are reaching a plateau.
The probabilistic design is revealing itself as a fundamental constraint. Any significant breakthrough will likely require a completely different architecture.
It's unlikely that real intelligence is a probabilistic function connected to a huge database.
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