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  1. Home
  2. /Discussion
  3. /Death rates rose in hospital ERs after private equity firms took over
  1. Home
  2. /Discussion
  3. /Death rates rose in hospital ERs after private equity firms took over
Last activity about 2 months agoPosted Sep 25, 2025 at 9:32 AM EDT

Death Rates Rose in Hospital Ers After Private Equity Firms Took Over

coloneltcb
785 points
495 comments

Mood

heated

Sentiment

negative

Category

other

Key topics

Private Equity
Healthcare
Profit Over People
Debate intensity85/100

A study found that death rates rose in hospital ERs after private equity firms took over, sparking a heated discussion on the ethics of profit-driven healthcare.

Snapshot generated from the HN discussion

Discussion Activity

Very active discussion

First comment

34m

Peak period

152

Day 1

Avg / period

40

Comment distribution160 data points
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Based on 160 loaded comments

Key moments

  1. 01Story posted

    Sep 25, 2025 at 9:32 AM EDT

    2 months ago

    Step 01
  2. 02First comment

    Sep 25, 2025 at 10:06 AM EDT

    34m after posting

    Step 02
  3. 03Peak activity

    152 comments in Day 1

    Hottest window of the conversation

    Step 03
  4. 04Latest activity

    Sep 30, 2025 at 10:44 AM EDT

    about 2 months ago

    Step 04

Generating AI Summary...

Analyzing up to 500 comments to identify key contributors and discussion patterns

Discussion (495 comments)
Showing 160 comments of 495
derbOac
2 months ago
6 replies
My impression is a lot of US health care problems are caused in part by a sort of unholy combination of restricted competition and access, together with profit driven market participants. So you end up with this marketplace constricted by overregulation — some well-meaning but often basically occurring because of protectionist moats and regulatory capture — increasingly controlled by profiteers trying to extract as much money as possible, with patients at the bottom, providers in the middle, and executives at the top. I think the problems with monopolies in the US are broad in scope but it hits healthcare especially hard because of how grotesquely distorted it is.

I'm not surprised by this finding, although I find in economics and healthcare forums the results tend to be misused (at least in my opinion), because it gets used to argue against any deregulation or cost cutting, instead of cost cutting of the type that tends to happen for the benefit of investors and shareholders, rather than cost cutting of the type that increases healthcare options and access.

palmotea
2 months ago
10 replies
> So you end up with this marketplace constricted by overregulation — some well-meaning but often basically occurring because of protectionist moats and regulatory capture

Don't hand-wave your claim of overregulation, be specific and name the regulations you think should go away.

pfdietz
2 months ago
3 replies
> Don't hand-wave your claim of overregulation, be specific and name the regulations you think should go away.

Regulations that prevent construction of new hospitals without some sort of "demonstration of need".

myrmidon
2 months ago
4 replies
How would higher hospital density help quell healthcare costs, though?

Isn't that just more infrastructure, administration overhead and staffing that victims have to pay for, in the end?

wat10000
2 months ago
8 replies
Where would you expect bananas to be cheaper: a town with five grocery stores, or a town with one?
ceejayoz
2 months ago
1 reply
I mean, that depends. A town with ten people and five grocery stores will be inefficient, and probably have very expensive produce as a result.
wat10000
2 months ago
2 replies
A town with ten people won't have five grocery stores in the first place. Nobody's going to spend a bunch of money to open a store in a place where there isn't a customer base to support it.
ceejayoz
2 months ago
1 reply
> Nobody's going to spend a bunch of money to open a store in a place where there isn't a customer base to support it.

Tell that to the waves of cupcake shops, craft breweries, and now cannabis dispensaries in my area.

wat10000
2 months ago
1 reply
Right, luxury items are definitely an apt analogy here. Man, people really do love to argue, huh.
ceejayoz
2 months ago
The point is that business decisions aren't magically correct. People can, and do, open stores in oversaturated markets. When your cupcake shop flops, that's sad; when hospitals close, that can be devastating to a community. It makes at least theoretical sense for states to try and prevent that impact.
goodpoint
2 months ago
There is such thing as market failure due to oversaturation.
palmotea
2 months ago
2 replies
> Where would you expect bananas to be cheaper: a town with five grocery stores, or a town with one?

I'm not defending the "Certificate of Need" regulations, but your thinking is sloppy: healthcare is not a product like bananas. That analogy will mislead more than it will inform.

If every person has to buy 10 bananas a day or they will die, the town with 5 stores may have more expensive bananas, because they can just raise prices to cover the excess capacity and people will pay.

ajmurmann
2 months ago
3 replies
They can't just raise the prices because people will bring their business to the competition. I've personally done this for CT scans. In my local market we literally got a scan for 2k where the hospital we'd usually go to wanted 10k.

The same works for non-emergency surgery as well. Take a look at https://surgerycenterok.com/ it's such a breath of fresh air to see the full price for each procedure right there. People travel there from all over the country to get needed procedures. So competition clearly works but the system doesn't really enable it. For example insurers don't want to work with the linked center because they won't give them rebates but charge everyone the same price. More details: https://www.econtalk.org/keith-smith-on-free-market-health-c...

lux-lux-lux
2 months ago
> In my local market we literally got a scan for 2k where the hospital we'd usually go to wanted 10k.

That’s still 4-6x what it would cost at a private clinic in Canada.

zdp7
2 months ago
You are over simplifying the problem. First off, the place you quote at 2K is probably an imaging business or part of a larger business that can keep the machines more fully utilized. The hospital has it's equipment to support it's main business. Nobody is going to the hospital for routine imaging. Next, nobody pays $10K at the hospital. Insurance will either have an already agreed to rate or will negotiate it down. As a private pay patient, you can negotiate it down. For planned imaging, a lot of people still won't shop around. Even with a deductible, it should still be the negotiated price. After deductible they all cost the same for most people on insurance. Modern Healthcare isn't a free market. These days insurance has most of the power.
palmotea
2 months ago
> They can't just raise the prices because people will bring their business to the competition.

Not necessarily. They're all under the same pressure. If they all provide similar services with little differentiation, the price will probably settle at a higher level to cover the fixed costs of 5 stores instead of 1.

> In my local market we literally got a scan for 2k where the hospital we'd usually go to wanted 10k.

You kind of get at it below, but I wonder if that's an effect of insurance negotiations (e.g. the hospital you usually "usually go" gave in to insurance discount demands in one area, but pushed back on scans pricing to get the revenue they need to operate).

I do think the totally fictitious nature of posted healthcare prices is a serious problem.

wat10000
2 months ago
If we look at "food" more generically, rather than bananas specifically, we are literally in that situation where every person has to have X amount per day or they will die. And competition still works great.

There are two things that set healthcare apart here. One is that sometimes people need unusual treatments to stay alive that are extremely expensive, and our desire not to let people die is at odds with the normal market mechanism where products that cost too much just don't get purchased. The other is that sometimes people have emergencies so urgent they can't really choose their provider.

But the vast majority of healthcare doesn't fall into those categories, and normal market mechanisms work fine for those. Competition would lower prices for most healthcare just like it does for food and everything else.

myrmidon
2 months ago
4 replies
I don't think that is a good comparison at all.

Unlike grocery stores, hospital ERs don't get frequent repeat customer interaction, so that makes the competition aspect basically completely inapplicable.

As typical ER visitor,

- You wont know what "quality" of care you are going to get beforehand

- You will have very limited capability of selecting the hospital

- You will be unable to compare prices beforehand

So why would any of those 5 hypothetical hospitals decrease prices?

More competitors won't do shit if the market is uncompetitive by design.

esafak
2 months ago
1 reply
That's what reviews and word of mouth are for. Don't you do research before picking a hospital and doctor?

We do need price transparency though.

myrmidon
2 months ago
1 reply
> Don't you do research before picking a hospital and doctor?

No. Preventing rapid unplanned end of life is the main purpose of hospitals in my view.

Enough time to make a choice of hospitals (or even to collect information on specific hospitals) is a luxury that I would not expect patients to have.

esafak
2 months ago
For every emergency I plan a visit to the hospital at least 10-20 times. Emergencies are the exception, by definition. I think everyone with health insurance, which the Census Bureau says is 92% of Americans, since they will not go directly to the ER.
cogman10
2 months ago
1 reply
How could you even compare prices?

If you go in because of a killer stomach ache you could end up needing a CT and emergency surgery. Or you could end up getting some pepto-bismol.

And if you are taken there by an ambulance (which you also have no ability to compare any price to). You'll be sent to the hospital the paramedics decides to drop you off at.

There is an inherent complete lack of information when going in for a medical situation that can't be fixed by the free market. You need (or believe you need) treatment now. There's no way for you to know what that treatment will be.

Even going in for an annual physical can be the exact same. Some dicey numbers on your blood work and you might be looking at some huge unplanned bills that are completely unavoidable.

myrmidon
2 months ago
That's exactly my point.

Number of competitors is only one of the inputs for how competitive a market is, and price intransparency + lack of information on treatment quality make it moot for the healthcare sector in my view.

I don't think higher hospital density would hurt, but we would have to pay for this and I don't see it help drive down prices.

shawn_w
2 months ago
1 reply
>Unlike grocery stores, hospital ERs don't get frequent repeat customer interaction...

Oh yes they do. I can think of any number of patients I'm familiar with who end up in the ER multiple times a week. Practically daily for some people. And a few who are known for getting discharged from one hospital and immediately heading to another nearby one.

myrmidon
2 months ago
2 replies
What is a reason to end up multiple times a week in ER?

I have a bunch of people with serious conditions in my "bubble" (spontaneus penumothorax, diabetes, ...) and none of those needed the ER more than ~1/lifeyear.

If weekly hospital visits were typical, competitive free market hospitals would be more feasible IMO but I don't think we're close to that (and I don't want to be, either).

shawn_w
2 months ago
Addicts (usually but not always homeless) with all sorts of drug/alcohol caused health problems that they don't manage. Not to mention overdoses/too drunk to move.

Medically fragile elderly people trying to live on their own when they shouldn't be. Frequent falls with injuries, etc.

A friend of my mothers was in and out of the ER and med/surg floors for months with mysterious cardiac symptoms that ended up being a new reaction to a medication she'd been taking for years.

People who are just psychologically, hmm, needy and looking for attention. When I worked on an ambulance there was a lady who'd call weekly because she said her blood pressure was high (it never was) and we couldn't refuse to transport her.

And more...

philipkglass
2 months ago
What is a reason to end up multiple times a week in ER?

This happened with a friend's mother during her last year of life. She had dementia, cardiac problems, infections, breathing problems, a whole litany of symptoms of slow death. But she didn't have any one clearly terminal condition (like late stage cancer) that would justify a switch to hospice, so she lived in an assisted nursing facility and also had to go to the ER more than 70 times in that last year. It was horrifying for everyone and the costs were astronomical. The state is now trying to seize her daughter's house to partially offset the accumulated expenses.

wat10000
2 months ago
An ER is only a small part of what a typical hospital provides. And life-threatening, must-get-treatment-immediately-or-die emergencies are only a small part of what a typical ER provides.

Yes, there are some kinds of care that aren't very amenable to competitive market forces, but the vast majority is.

h2zizzle
2 months ago
The town where you can see the banana prices on the shelves, if not online, and where there's a collective refusal to pay (perhaps through an organizer payer) if the price is too high.
taeric
2 months ago
My expectation on cost of banana will be more on how much it costs to ship to said town? Similarly, which town has higher tax burden to cover? Assuming any sort of health inspection on places that store food, the town with more stores has a higher burden.

Which is all to say, my gut is it is far more complicated than that allows for. Not a useless model, but also not a very actionable one.

jasonlotito
2 months ago
1. One accepts only Visa, one only MC, one only Amex, one only cash, and one only accept bitcoin.

2. One offers bananas to walk in visitors, but the others have a minimum wait time of 1 month to a year.

3. One is a mile away. One is an hour away. Still in the same county.

4. None of them offer an easy to understand menu. You can't just order a banana. You ahve to order Banana Services and meet with Banana specialists. You can't take the banana home.

5. You wake up in a banana shop and you didn't get a chance to shop around before being presented with a bill. They don't take your payment of choice, so it's 10 times as expensive.

6. Some won't let you buy a banana. Instead, you have to buy a banana service. Per banana pricing is the lowest here, but the total cost is higher if you just want a banana.

Which banana store do you buy from? A, B, C, D, or E?

I'll take the first choice you make and let you know if you picked correctly. Anything other than the correct choice is a failure.

cogman10
2 months ago
In the town closest to central america.

The labor to produce, ship, and shelve the banana determine it's cost along with whatever margin the store that sells the banana is willing to take. Walmart, for example, could be perfectly willing to sell a banana at a loss if they think that will get you in to buy a TV.

This is why dollar stores exist and often kill off local grocers. They can sell a lot of non-perishable goods at a loss and win back by understaffing the location and overcharging on non-perishable goods.

I live in a city with probably around 50 different clinics, but they are all associated with 3 major medical groups. It isn't a lack of buildings that's preventing competition.

anubistheta
2 months ago
Exactly. The more suppliers are in a market, the more competition there is. Thus lower prices and a better selection. People don't like a monopoly is other areas of life. Healthcare is no different.
pfdietz
2 months ago
1 reply
But the victims don't have to pay for it -- excess infrastructure is a bad investment that those who built it pay for. The builders are not guaranteed a return on their investment.
myrmidon
2 months ago
1 reply
I don't really get it.

If you are arguing that the customer is not paying for inefficient providers, then I strongly disagree.

Customers always end up paying for inefficient supply chains. If you end up with an inefficient allocation of hospitals/doctors (local overprovisioning), it's always gonna be the patients that are gonna pick up the bill for this in the end through higher average prices.

Inefficiencies are doubly bad because you potentially don't just pay the pure cost for the inefficiency (middlemen, waste etc.) you even pay for margins on top.

I think the assumption that such inefficiencies could lead to actual savings for customers (by magically making the providers decrease their profit margins) is highly overoptimistic.

pfdietz
2 months ago
> Customers always end up paying for inefficient supply chains.

Obviously not. There is nothing that compels a customer to do business with an inferior competitor, if there is an alternative. The end result of having a sufficiently inefficient supply chain can be that the company involved goes out of business, as it cannot operate at a profit.

vlovich123
2 months ago
2 replies
No, actually it would be lower for the same reason competition always leads to lower prices. Uncompetitive hospitals that can’t meet need would naturally go out of business.

A “need” certificate is similar to the cap that med schools have - it’s effectively a pricing cartel to keep salaries/revenue high

jplrssn
2 months ago
2 replies
> competition always leads to lower prices

I don't see how this could be true for emergency visits. Would an ambulance drive you to the cheapest hospital within some fixed radius?

theptip
2 months ago
If you now have two ERs within driving range, you have the choice to go to the cheaper one if you are conscious and in a stable enough condition to reflect. This is the sort of thing people already think about in the US.
hamdingers
2 months ago
Hospitals typically lose money on emergency visits and make it back on scheduled inpatient care and outpatient services. This would accelerate a poor performing hospital's demise, because ambulances will go to the closest one but patients who have options will look elsewhere.
milesskorpen
2 months ago
There are extremely high fixed costs + we require hospitals to do unprofitable work (they aren't allowed to turn anyone away from the ED, for example). In many small regional chains, their profitable hospitals in one area fund unprofitable hospitals in other regions.

Overall we have a crisis of hospitals shutting down, not a crisis of oversupply.

opo
2 months ago
Here is a summary of a number of studies of the effects of Certificates of Need:

https://ij.org/report/striving-for-better-care/overwhelming-...

h2zizzle
2 months ago
1 reply
Oh, well that's BS. Urgent care clinics have proliferated like crazy over the post decade or so. The supply to fill the vast majority of urgent medical needs which hospital ERs used to have to carry alone is there. But it's true that that supply often goes unused. Why? Because ERs HAVE to tend to and stabilize patients when they present; UCCs can turn you away if you can't demonstrate the ability to pay.

The problem is not restrictions on medical facility construction, it's inefficient use of what we already have.

In general, America has an issue with defaulting to "building new", as if we have an everlasting greenfield, rather than careful provisioning of the already overbuilt infrastructure base. Capitalists love being freed of prior obligations, with no regard for how they contribute to an even more unwieldy set of obligations in the future. Enough. You can't just do as you like. Help solve the actual problem.

pfdietz
2 months ago
3 replies
BS, eh?

https://www.health.ny.gov/facilities/cons/

alostpuppy
2 months ago
2 replies
That’s just New York, yeah? Does every state have similar regulations?
ch4s3
2 months ago
Slightly more than half have CoN laws and other states have a number of restrictions of facility construction that complicate building smaller clinics.
pfdietz
2 months ago
So, unless every state has a regulation, that regulation doesn't exist and has no effect?

Any other goal lines you want to redraw? Let's get that out of the way now instead of going back and forth.

(To answer: in my personal experience Illinois also has such a regulation.)

kotaKat
2 months ago
1 reply
Yeah, that one actually fucked us over rurally. Local healthcare system wanted to put up a new greenfield hospital facility, was turned down for the CON by a challenge from another hospital 30 miles away. They wrenched demands out of the facility to get the CON approved with modifications that basically took away all of the “hospital” from it and basically made it “fancy block of specialist doctors” instead.
h2zizzle
2 months ago
Rural/urban split. Many cities instead contend with local politicians who want to put a feather in their cap by giving concessions to developers to build new, expensive facilities (instead of, say, driving that money into actual healthcare or the rehab of existing facilities). What will happen is that the taxpayers will give millions to have a greenfield facility built, and around that time, the older local facility (likely to be servicing poorer residents or those without transportation access) will get shut down. Expanding building doesn't fix this dynamic, it makes it worse.
h2zizzle
2 months ago
Yes, BS. Because, as I said, regulations have not stopped the establishment and proliferation of the urgent care clinics that would be intended to reduce the load for hospital emergency rooms. Such facilities do not need a CON if affiliated with an existing hospital or practice. They essentially function as extensions of local ERs for non-critical needs - or, they would, if they were forced to see patients regardless of demonstrated ability to pay, as ERs must. To fix that, you need MORE regulations, not fewer.
jasonlotito
2 months ago
1 reply
This doesn't solve the issue presented in the study. PE hospitals exists in states with and without these restrictions. So while CON might be an issue, it doesn't reconcile the issue of PE. In fact, PE priorities is exactly one of the things CON was setup to handle.

Regardless, you have to explain how removing CON solves the PE issue mentioned when states without CON had the same issues.

RHSeeger
2 months ago
2 replies
You seem to be under the mistaken impression that

- There is a specific list of regulations that cause the problem

- Each regulation in that list is present everywhere the problem exists

Neither one of those are true. Instead, there are many regulations and, combined, they add up to causing the problems. The specific regulations can and do vary by location; but the result is the same.

20after4
2 months ago
I think the problem is obsessive optimization of profit at the expense of literally everything else. Greed is bad, especially in a field that is at least in theory centered on taking care of people. You can't take care of someone by exploiting them for the maximum possible profit.
jasonlotito
2 months ago
> You seem...

No. You are 100% wrong.

The context of this discussion is PE. So comments discussing this involve PE. So while you are correct in general, you are wrong specifically.

In light of that, I stand by what I said: you have to explain how removing CON solves the PE issue mentioned when states without CON had the same issues.

Maybe this isn't possible, but then we accept that this is not an answer to PE, which again, topic of conversation.

viscountchocula
2 months ago
1 reply
Certificate of Need: basically, prove to regulators that there is enough "need" before opening up new facilities.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Certificate_of_need

bilbo0s
2 months ago
3 replies
As someone already pointed out, PE owned hospitals are in states with, and in states without, CON requirements. Certainly on the face of that fact it would appear the existence, or nonexistence, of CON requirements has no effect on PE hospitals charging more and having far inferior outcomes.

Do you have a hypothesis as to why CON requirements are driving inferior outcomes and increased cost metrics at PE owned hospitals? (A hypothesis that accounts for the fact that PE owned hospitals underperform even in the absence of CON requirements.)

Serious question. I'm trying to get my head around this.

dodobirdlord
2 months ago
1 reply
How does this relate to the original post? The original post posits that overregulation contributes to the dysfunction of the US healthcare system. The next response calls for specifics. The comment you responded to provides a specific regulation that may be contributing.

You respond questioning how that could explain why PE operated hospitals have worse outcomes. I agree, this doesn’t seem to have an explanatory power for why PE operated hospitals have worse outcomes, but how does that relate?

bilbo0s
2 months ago
1 reply
Uh, because the original post implied that over regulation was the cause of substandard metrics in PE owned hospitals. It even went so far as to state, "..I'm not surprised by this finding.." after outlining a case for why over regulation was a problem.

Which "finding", presumably, being that PE owned hospitals have substandard metrics.

My question is natural given the context of a discussion that's literally titled:

"Death rates rose in hospital ERs after private equity firms took over"

It's literally the entire subject of the discussion. Why would anyone think it's irrelevant?

dodobirdlord
2 months ago
1 reply
I think you misread the original post. It is about overregulation fostering the spread of PE operated hospitals. Not about overregulation causing PE operated hospitals to have worse outcomes.
bilbo0s
2 months ago
The material point is that the PE operated hospitals proliferate even in the absence of the regulations.
landl0rd
2 months ago
1 reply
Yeah, don't you think a. there would be less PE demand for these hospitals if they didn't come with a free state-enforced local monopoly, and b. it would be easier for competitors that don't suck to open up, and c. PE guys could get away with less quality degradation if there wasn't the aforementioned local monopoly?
bilbo0s
2 months ago
But PE owned hospitals also suck when there is no locally enforced monopoly. They even suck when it is easy to open competing hospitals.
SkyBelow
2 months ago
Sample hypothesis with only minimal amount of knowledge on it.

PEs seek to make profit, and are looking for places where they can either raise prices or lower costs (which will quickly correlate with worse outcomes) while not losing customers (yes, you could call them patients, but PE will view them as customers), or at least losing so few that the overall numbers result in more profit. One way of doing this is looking for barriers to competition/moats. CON is just one type of moat, and so is one factor PEs evaluate, but the presence or absence of other moats can still override the presence or absence of this one moat. One could try to work this out from data with some sort of regression, but with so many possible moats and a relatively limited number of data points, it would be easy to overfit the data.

In comparison, non-PE hospitals might have some profit motive (or keeping to budgets, not going bankrupt, ect.), but will be less driven by this mentality and thus their relationships to moats will be more complex, and so something like a CON requirement won't be as fully exploited to raise prices or lower costs.

This also fails to account for other ways that PE can seek to make money, which involves more complex parts of law and financing that I'm not well versed on (I've ready some things about real estate, but don't know enough to fairly analyze the claims).

betaby
2 months ago
5 replies
In the USA/Canada number of doctors minted is caped by the cartel of doctors. That costs non-trivial money and lives lost.

Source: https://thedailyeconomy.org/article/how-congress-created-the... and many others

miltonlost
2 months ago
5 replies
While important, this is immaterial to the NBC article. The PE firms CUT the number of employees in ER rooms in this paper, so having more doctors wouldn't actually help out the problem that the NBC article is describing.

"The increased deaths in emergency departments at private equity-owned hospitals are most likely the result of reduced staffing levels after the acquisitions, which the study also measured, said Dr. Zirui Song, a co-author and associate professor of health care policy and medicine at Harvard Medical School."

The issue with American healthcare is the profit-seeking capitalists.

jwilber
2 months ago
1 reply
Well, it could be both. Having more doctors before cuts means having more after cuts.
leoc
2 months ago
And the more expensive a doctor is, the more you save by cutting one/the larger the total wage bill for doctors is for a fixed number of doctors, making that bill a higher proportion of total expenses and a higher priority for cuts/the fewer doctors you get for a fixed amount of money.
khimaros
2 months ago
2 replies
theoretically, wouldn't increasing the supply of doctors have a downward pressure on wages and thus make it cheaper to employ more of them?
banannaise
2 months ago
1 reply
Sure, it would make it cheaper. Would that result in these companies employing more doctors to perform the same amount of care at higher quality, or would it result in them retaining the standard of care they're currently providing while taking home a larger profit margin?
mothballed
2 months ago
1 reply
There are a lot of hospitals where there is an endless supply people showing up to the ER with non-emergent stuff because it is the only place required to take them, and their number is only limited by wait time due to triage; they'll just leave if it takes too long as their life isn't threatened and they have something else to do.

You could hire a whole army of doctors and they'd still be there, word gets around. If the doctors are cheap enough to cover whatever you can get from debt collection agencies to sell off the debt they'll never pay, then you could hire a lot.

rileymat2
2 months ago
1 reply
If this is happening now, why would they cut the number of doctors?
mothballed
2 months ago
1 reply
They can't sell the debt for uninsured non-emergent case for enough money to cover the doctor.

Cutting doctors means only the most prioritized triage cases makes it to doctors, which skews towards people that are employed or on medicare and the money can be recouped, and thus improves profitability.

It's an end-run against the requirement they take in the hordes of people with no insurance who show up to the ER for low-income cases and no way to pay it.

If doctors were so cheap as to be covered by the sales to debt collectors, the whole thing gets flipped, as it would be profitable to just hire armies of them to cover the hordes who come in with non-emergent cases.

rileymat2
2 months ago
Do we really think an increase in the supply of doctors will cause prices to collapse so hard that selling off unpaid medical debt will be profitable?
matheusmoreira
2 months ago
It absolutely would. Source: live in a country which "democratized" access to medical schools and flooded the market with doctors. Consequences? Let's just say that the term "secondary effects" doesn't quite cover it.

This thread is talking about ERs so let's focus on that. Pay for a 12 hour shift has fallen by over 50% and that's without accounting for inflation. As a result, only heavily indebted and inexperienced doctors are manning the ERs now. These are critical life saving jobs that ought to attract the most experienced doctors but they turned into reassigned-to-Antartica tier jobs that only new or failed doctors put up with. Now factor in the substandard education provided by the hundreds of newly created medical schools which don't even have a hospital for students to practice in. The result is of course stupid and incompetent doctors manning ERs. I remember one guy who sent home a patient with textbook myocardial infarction symptoms without even ordering a routine EKG, obviously leading to the patient's death. Imagine being that dude's lawyer.

Depressing the wages of healthcare workers has fatal consequences. There's no reason at all to spend the best decade of one's life busting ass in medical school and residency if one is not gonna get rich off of it. You want your doctor to be the smartest, most studious, most hard working, most debt-free person you'll ever meet. You don't want to put your life and well-being in the hands of a stupid indebted doctor who graduated from a diploma mill.

myrmidon
2 months ago
5 replies
> The issue with American healthcare is the profit-seeking capitalists.

Profit seeking capitalists would be fine if healthcare was a competitive market, like grocery sale.

But it isn't, and I honestly don't see how to make it one. Full price transparency would help, but I don't believe classical free market selfregulation can work out for the healthcare sector, by design.

You need good ability of healthcare customers to judge quality of treatment/medication, to know prices beforehand and to have sufficient choice for market dynamics to work, and every single one of those points is somewhere between really difficult and impossible.

rtkwe
2 months ago
3 replies
An embedded requirement for a rational market is that the customer has to be able to make a rational evaluation of the costs of the good vs the quality, which just doesn't exist in medical fields. Patients don't know enough to make that choice and evaluate the efficacy of many potential choices of providers. Not being able to do that fundamentally kneecaps the implicit assumptions in the already faulty model that underpins the 'competitive market' analysis. We should just accept that and stop trying to treat it as one and provide it as a public good.
TheOtherHobbes
2 months ago
2 replies
That's a cart-before-the-horse analysis.

Labelling markets "rational" is pure rhetoric. There's nothing even remotely rational about a market system, because the moral basis of calling markets "rational" is... greed.

Just greed. Nothing else.

All of the failed outcomes, deaths, pollution, lost opportunities, distortions of democracy, and other damages are a direct consequence of this moral system which claims that greed is rational - when in fact unfettered greed is clearly and objectively sociopathic, with predictable sociopathic outcomes.

nickpp
2 months ago
1 reply
We're all greedy. We all want to get the most for our money, time and effort.

Greed and desire push us to spend our energy, otherwise we'd simply conserve it.

It's normal, it's natural and it works. It's human (and animal) nature.

Altruism works fine in individuals and small organizations. But large systems based on altruism uniformly failed to provide the most basic necessities (like food) for their citizens. Can't work against human nature.

nosianu
2 months ago
2 replies
> We're all greedy. We all want to get the most for our money, time and effort.

We are?

For example, I never file taxes. I'm certain I could get quite a bit back. I am far from rich, I earn medium pay in Germany - medium overall, not medium in IT. (Because I deliberately took a more rewarding and relaxing job, but that's besides the point.)

I will not fill my mind with "money" stuff. Even if that costs me some of that money.

I am sure, given that the terms used are as fuzzy as can be, you can twist and shake the words until you can claim that I am "greedy", the problem with this rationality discussions is how extremely flexible the words used are, making it quite impossible to win or lose an argument. All one has to do is insist on one's own definitions... but taking a relaxed view, I don't see good way to make not-at-all-rare positions such as mine as a form of "greed", without severely twisting the commonly understood meaning(s).

I think a lot of that world view is self-fulfilling.

When I was a kid I LOVED working like the adults. That includes taking one to four week stints in factories, as a teenager in school. That was common in East Germany and encouraged, early acquaintance with work life. I did the same helping out my craftsman grandfather and my shop-owing grandmother.

Work was FUN!

But now, the reason I don't just go - which I would LOVE to do! - and work a few hours low-level jobs here and there, is because it's all been heavily commercialized. You just don't do that! Work has to be pain, and you get paid. Only an idiot would work for free!

During university, during a semester break, I took a job in a chocolate factory. I did not actually need the money! My parents paid (divorced, but both paid). I actually had a lot over at the end of university (cheap dorm housing and no fees for the university itself sure helped). I took the job because I wanted to work in a factory again. It is FUN!.

Until that middle manager a..ole appüeared. I had just optimized my in-between assignment of taking care of some machine chocolate thing, some mixing, I forgot the details. I had set everything up perfectly and now had to just wait a few minutes for the machine to finish.

In comes that.... manager guy. Immediately, seeing me sitting there he yelled at me why I'm not working. FU manager guy. That was the day I realized work now is WORK, not fun. You are not supposed to have fun. You now need middle manager person to keep your lazy ass in check! By yourself, without continuous pressure, you would not move a hand! Right?

At least for the "lower" jobs, which are the majority.

> It's normal, it's natural and it works. It's human (and animal) nature.

You are definitely not speaking for a lot of people, and what you see is NOT the one natural outcome. Expectations and behavior towards people determine theirs (behavior).

The culture I describe existed all around me in East Germany. Yes we were waaayyy backwards with everything, but work culture was really good. I learned a technical profession in a large chemical factory before studying. Everybody worked, useful stuff too, all day. The ancient machinery in the crumbling buildings needed a lot of attention to keep them running. There was hardly any slacking off anywhere I looked. Sure, it was relaxed, but it was work, work, work. I've seen waayyy more slacking off in the offices of large American IT companies.

What you describe as "natural" is natural only in the context the current society has created.

samat
about 2 months ago
Thank you for sharing this unpopular opinion.

Idea of people caring about money above all else and money being sole measure of things and 'more money is always better' is a huge delusion of our modern societies.

I think we are taking this idea to an extreme and we are already bearing consequences. I am afraid there will be more to come until the bell swings back. I hope it does not break the civilization as we know on it's way forward.

nickpp
2 months ago
> We are?

Yes we are. When discussing a salary offer, do you negotiate it down? When buying products and services, do you just pay the minimum amount asked or do you offer more from the goodness of your heart? When getting your paycheck do you immediately donate most of it to the less fortunate in Africa, keeping only enough to cover the bare necessities for yourself? If not, welcome to the club: you too are greedy.

> When I was a kid I LOVED working like the adults.

My kids loved helping with yard when they were little. Their reward was spending time with me and learning. It was enough then. Now, as teens, not so much. I have to pay to motivate them.

> Work was FUN!

Work is still fun, for me at least. But a paycheck makes it even better. I don't know anybody cleaning sewage for pure fun though.

> East Germany

I too grew up in communist Eastern Europe. I clearly remember the never ending lines for food and any basic items like soap or toilet paper. With the profit motivation made illegal, nobody did any work and we were all starving.

20after4
2 months ago
I agree with you but this website is sociopath central so I'm not surprised this got down votes. A lot of Ayn Rand fans here. But you know that already, judging by your karma score.
somenameforme
2 months ago
3 replies
For the overwhelming majority of things people to go to the hospital for, where you go doesn't really matter, because the treatment and diagnosis is extremely routine. This includes very serious things like cancer. My mother, through a variety of fortuitous events, was able to have her breast cancer treated at one of the top ranked cancer specializing hospitals in the US. She had acquaintances that had theirs treated at the local university/training hospital. They ended up receiving literally the exact same treatments.

Same for my own stuff. The first time one of my children got sick it was terrifying, so I naturally took him to the most premium pediatric healthcare institution. And what did they do? Basic tests to rule out anything particularly nasty, and fever management. The exact same thing the cheapest hospital does, except I got the privilege of paying 10x more for it and feeling like a complete sucker. From that point on - 'oh he's sick? shall we go to the university hospital, or the religious nonprofit?'

owenthejumper
2 months ago
1 reply
Unfortunately it does matter. NCI designated cancer centers simply do have better outcomes than local hospitals.
somenameforme
2 months ago
1 reply
This is not entirely clear. Elsewhere in this thread I found a couple of studies on this exact topic. The first [1] is just for breast cancer and after normalizing across a wide array of variables, found no improved survival rates except for black women, which I think is suggestive of further biases.

The second [2] is for all sorts of cancers, but is a large observational study without much effort to control for biases. It found an overall increase in five year survival rates of 3.6% (64.3% in NCI centers, vs 60.7% in non-NCI). That's certainly something, but it's fairly certain that biases would bring that down a healthy chunk.

However there were significantly better outcomes in more rare/lethal cancers. For instance in hepatobiliary cancers, the NCI survival rate was 33.8% vs 18.7% for non-NCI centers. And that is largely the point I'm making. For the overwhelming majority of things, care is mostly commoditized and you will be fine wherever you go. The value of high end institutions is mostly only realized in the case of rare/serious issues, for which transfer is always an option anyhow.

---

Though I'd also add here that these examples, cancer, are on the fringe extremes of what my point was. That there is a strong argument to be made that even cancer falls within it, just further emphasizes the point. If your local hospital can competently treat cancer, they can certainly treat the overwhelming majority of reasons people go to the hospital, which are relatively far more commoditized.

[1] - https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC8462568/

[2] - https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC4892698/

epcoa
2 months ago
"can competently treat cancer, they can certainly treat the overwhelming majority of reasons"

No this claim, just because, is not weight-bearing. Extraordinary claims require extraordinary evidence. And I don't understand the motivation to make such a tenuous link when at a bare minimum one can look up direct data like joint commision and MPSMS safety data and related publications. There is tremendous variability in serious hospital safety events inter-institution for bread and butter admissions. One can further just examine CMS and NHS data for mortality and readmission for "mundane" MI, HF, sepsis, pneumonia, respiratory failure. OB/GYN outcomes are their own thing.

The flaw in reasoning here is that quality of care and outcomes is strongly related to the simplicity of diagnosis. A further flaw is the belief that care is "commoditized". Treatment protocols vary widely across institutions and health systems, often times based on cost factors. Certain basic things can not be done at night, or even the day for fully accredited hospitals. There's a big difference somewhere with 24 hour anesthesia airway and in-house surgery and not just an intensivist "on call" 600 miles away and staff that can't even do RSI. Transfer is not always an option, there's a reason critically ill people die more frequently in the sticks. If one is admitted to a regional hospital, they are unlikely to be accepted for transfer to a safer hospital unless they truly need an intervention that absolutely cannot be provided where they are, not simply because there is better backup provider support and a higher standard of safety. They will still remain at that higher risk for sepsis, or outdated care because the community physician group doesn't keep up with guidelines, or that hospital only offers the inferior treatment (or a limited formulary) for cost-cutting reasons.

Breast cancer and most cancers are not even typical inpatient encounters. Breast cancer is generally not managed on an inpatient basis, in fact one may never even have to visit an inpatient hospital campus for breast cancer. Upgrades for cancer are usually different than acute inpatient care. Breast cancer does not usually involve abdominal, intrathoracic or orthopedic surgery. Breast cancer does not usually involve advanced interventions like endarterectomy, ECMO. Cancer is a special case. Regardless of complexity, extrapolating cancer treatment to even the most "mundane" acute inpatient or surgical care really is beyond ridiculous.

This is a complex subject and this is a silly hot take.

epcoa
2 months ago
1 reply
EDIT: tl;dr

Two registry cohort papers on breast cancer outcomes, one only in Los Angeles county "provide extensive evidence for my claim"

The claim: For the overwhelming majority of things people to go to the hospital for, where you go doesn't really matter.

Ok, whatever.

somenameforme
2 months ago
1 reply
This is not anecdotal. At least for the cancer we're discussing, breast cancer, there is no meaningful difference between hospitals. Here [1] is a study on this exact question for breast cancer.

They covered an extensive number of variables across hospitals and patients (including NCI/ACS status). They found no correlation with improved survival rates for any variable except for black women receiving their initial treatment at an ACS hospital. While that is technically an affirmation of your claims, I think it is clearly suggestive of some form of bias rather than being a clear causal association.

[1] - https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC8462568/

epcoa
2 months ago
.
yibg
2 months ago
This isn’t true in aggregate though. Cancer treatment outcomes varies quite a bit even for the same type of cancer.
DangitBobby
2 months ago
1 reply
Most markets fail here. I can't even make good decisions about which electronics or appliances to buy, which restaurants to visit, which mechanic to use, and it's not for lack of research or unwillingness to pay. Advertising allows brands to build undeserved market reputation, and brands regularly sabotage their own legitimately established brand reputation for financialization.
rtkwe
2 months ago
I think it's particularly bad in medical decisions though because it's so much more advanced and cases are so varied it's difficult to compare doctor performance on different procedures. At least with products you generally get similar items each time so people can test multiple products in some scenario and a buyer can know what they buy should perform similarly.
coredog64
2 months ago
2 replies
> but I don't believe classical free market selfregulation can work out for the healthcare sector, by design.

That would come as news to the French.

The TL;DR of the French system is that you pay for your outpatient care at the point of service. Later, your insurance company will reimburse you for 80% of the "reasonable and customary" charges for the service. It's up to you to pick the provider that matches your budget.

Emergency care is understood as not amenable to the free market, and that doesn't have the same payment flow. Having said that, I could tell you some stories about folks who wound up worse off because the care was still rationed, just by the state instead of an insurance company.

I'll preempt the common next argument, and that is that emergency care is ~ 10% of US medical spending, so it's probably not Pareto efficient to start with that case when designing how this all works.

myrmidon
2 months ago
For the record: With "classical free market selfregulation" I mean something that is quite far from any civilized system. Standards of care, education of caregivers and even pricing levels to some degree are all regulated in your example (which I think is a good idea).

I would literally expect overpriced snake-oil from actual free market healthcare, and there is significant empirical evidence that this would happen from my point of view.

kelseyfrog
2 months ago
> I could tell you some stories about folks who wound up worse off because the care was still rationed, just by the state instead of an insurance company.

I wish this would stop being used like it's a credible argument. The truth is that we can find these cases in any healthcare system. The only valid evidence when weighing system versus system is aggregate numbers.

tptacek
2 months ago
1 reply
In what sense do you mean that healthcare isn't a competitive market? Are you talking about locales with only one nearby hospital? I'm in a big city and I have 3 of them, and the choice of 5 different major provider chains. I don't like the system (I think provider abuses are the major cause of health spending problems in this country), but one thing I can't say is that I don't have options.
myrmidon
2 months ago
1 reply
What I mean is that the dynamics of healthcare are not conducive for a competitive market.

Compare grocery shopping:

You have frequent/repeated interactions; if you always get ripped of by one shop, you can go to another. Before you go grocery shopping, you will have a decent mental model for: prices levels at each shop, quality of produce and accessibility/distance. You also have the full choice in where to go, basically every time.

Hospital interactions (especially ER) is the polar opposite:

You will have few interactions with it over your lifetime (hopefully), costs are basically impossible to know beforehand (and difficult to compare, too), quality of treatment is extremely difficult to judge as patient (because every case is somewhat unique, and outcomes can easily come down to luck/individual doctor). Especially in the ER case, you often don't even have a real choice of hospital and even in cases where you could (and had all the info) there might be throughput limitations on "desirable" hospitals that prevent you from switching (=> having to wait for 5 months).

Another factor I think is that hospitals gain less from being "good": As a "good" grocer, you get to steal market share from your competition at low cost and risk to yourself; for the hospital, scaling up is more difficult and risky, thus "good" competitors are also less threatening comparatively (thus less of a motivation to improve things).

tptacek
2 months ago
So I understand where you're coming from, and there are certainly major market distortions in health in the US (employer-provided health insurance being the most obvious). But where I live, "which ER will you go to" is a major, market-driven conversation. I have 3 obvious options, and 2 of them are competitive, and if I go look for conversations and "reviews" I'll find plenty of opinions quickly. To me, it's at least as competitive as the market for plumbers.
thisislife2
2 months ago
1 reply
> ... would be fine if healthcare was a competitive market. But it isn't, and I honestly don't see how to make it one.

The "mixed economy" model - introduce government run hospitals to create competition.

Indian healthcare industry is experimenting with such a model. There are free to cheap government hospitals (along with medical colleges that provide cheap labour in the form of student interns) and smaller public health clinics, that work somewhat like the UK NHS model. But as they tend to be over crowded, or have high wait times to see experts, people with money (and / or insurance) tend to prefer good private hospitals. Private hospitals do charge a lot, but where there are good government hospitals, they have to be mindful that they do not charge too much. Affordable insurance (along with socialised government insurance) and medicines also make access to quality healthcare possible.

smj-edison
2 months ago
Huh, I really like this approach. My economics knowledge isn't great, but I do know that healthcare is quite inelastic because people are willing to pay high prices to be healthy. A mixed model would siphon off the most desperate to a good option, and inject local competition.

I advocated against universal healthcare for a long time, since I was worried that it would cause stagnation in health innovation, but now I see a need for universal healthcare for the 80-90% most common procedures (and leave private clinics to innovate). The only downside I can think of is less dependence on insurance, which has the potential to drive up premiums. But, if that means taking care of the poor for the most common ailments, then it's a worthwhile tradeoff.

ModernMech
2 months ago
The further you get from a perfect market, the less free market dynamics work. And even if they did, there's nothing in the theory that would minimize for patient deaths. The theory says that as patients die, people who are living would go to hospitals with better outcomes. But to achieve this outcome

1. patients need to be able to actually choose where to go. If they are incapacitated they have no choice in where they are taken.

2. we have to endure an unknown number of deaths for an undetermined period of time while we wait for the market to reach equilibrium.

So it's pretty clear free market dynamics are not the way to go when it comes to the healthcare marketplace.

GoatInGrey
2 months ago
Restricted supply of physicians means that there aren't enough of them to open a competing hospital.

Your complaint against for-profit hospitals would apply just as quickly to a nonprofit hospital in a socialist regime. The fundamental problem is monopoly. Because most people don't behave nicely unless they are forced to by market pressures. Whether those markets are economic or social in nature.

Even if you ignore present-day socialist economies, you can look to NIMBYism in the developed world as a flagrant example of what happens when "normal people" gain collective control over a resource without any competitors. They immediately weaponize it to the harm of greater society. If not for financial purposes, then ideological ones.

naasking
2 months ago
> so having more doctors wouldn't actually help out the problem that the NBC article is describing.

It could because a larger supply of doctors means salaries would be lower, and thus the incentive to cut staff is lower.

pure_ambition
2 months ago
4 replies
I stand by this: Physicians in the US are some of the only people who are paid what they deserve, in terms of authentic human value delivered. And only in the US are they paid what they deserve. They deserve their semi-monopolistic trade union.

Admin bloat is a far larger problem, and so are the pharmaceutical companies which get to charge the government whatever they want to develop new drugs that often are only marginally effective.

1980phipsi
2 months ago
1 reply
Noah Smith has had some good posts on health care costs in the US over the past year

https://www.noahpinion.blog/p/insurance-companies-arent-the-...

https://www.noahpinion.blog/p/service-costs-arent-exploding-...

stackskipton
2 months ago
Linking blog articles that bury the lead behind paywall make it impossible to discuss anything.

However, at the core, US insurance system is the problem because it gets compounded by government trying to regulate such a system, so people do not die needlessly, but not destroy these profit seeking enterprises. So, what you end up with is a massive mess that leaves everybody cranky.

tptacek
2 months ago
Pharmaceuticals cost 15% of what we pay in delivery of health services from doctors.
dantillberg
2 months ago
I appreciate the defense of doctors wages for great work; I would agree that many doctors absolutely deserve it and more.

But this "semi-monopolistic trade union" not only inflates their wages (which maybe that's a good thing), but it also harms the lives of the population they purport to serve. Many (most imo) people in the US simply cannot afford the monopoly's prices, and the monopoly has little incentive to innovate. This cartel of doctors actively prevents lower-cost, more efficient alternatives from coming to market.

mothballed
2 months ago
I'd have no problem if they were just a trade union. In fact they are a systemic machine of mass violence, capturing the regulatory apparatus of government to use men with guns to enforce their licensing regime which of course you must walk through the pearly gates of their institutions to be blessed under.
insane_dreamer
2 months ago
3 replies
That’s not a regulatory issue
nick__m
2 months ago
1 reply
What kind of issue it is then ? If a regulation permits the doctors associations to set the allowed number of doctors residency, naively it is a regulatory issue.
insane_dreamer
2 months ago
It's a funding issue. There aren't enough residency slots available given the number of medical school grads. Residency is a requirement to get a medical license--which is issued by the states, not the federal gov. The reason there aren't enough residency slots is because they are heavily subsidized by the federal gov and they put a cap on the funding. No one else wants to foot the bill, so the slots remain limited, thus the licenses remains limited.
tptacek
2 months ago
1 reply
It obviously is. A federal government policy decision caps the number of doctors we have, and another federal government policy decision restricts a huge number of basic medical services to those doctors.
insane_dreamer
2 months ago
1 reply
The AMA is creating the bottleneck, not the government directly.
tptacek
2 months ago
1 reply
When the government accepts AMA lobbying and sets a regulatory cap on the number of new residencies, it is regulating, and is fully culpable for doing so. Your logic basically defines the government away, treating it instead as the product of the influences acting on it.
insane_dreamer
2 months ago
> sets a regulatory cap on the number of new residencies

there is no regulatory cap on the number of new residencies

there is a cap on _federal funding_ for new residency slots; yes that impacts hospitals' willingness to add new positions, but it's _not_ the same as a regulatory cap

topkai22
2 months ago
Since the government (federal or state/local) authorizes those organizations to certify physicians and restricts medical care to only those who have been certified, it is.
waiquoo
2 months ago
2 replies
US residency funding has not increased since 1997, and residency spots is the real chokepoint
stult
2 months ago
It was very barely increased in 2021. Nowhere near enough though
emchammer
2 months ago
According to the article, the caps were enacted because of a fear that the people might want too much healthcare. Do I even need to look into which party pushed this?
nobodyandproud
2 months ago
1 reply
The older generation MDs screwed up here, but now insurances are heavily pushing NPs and PAs to take their place.

The nursing orgs are naturally lobbying hard (MD and RN orgs have an icy relationship).

The quality and capabilities of these noctors—calling themselves residents and even doctors and performing surgeries and general anesthesia—is a growing problem.

mothballed
2 months ago
1 reply
Better with noctors than nothing at all. I know that's a false dichotomy in the long run, but for the present it isn't, given the regulatory environment. PA/NP is basically backup plan for a lot of people that don't get into med school or don't anticipate they could.
nobodyandproud
2 months ago
2 replies
I’d say it’s worse.

Incompetent treatment is worse than not being treated at all.

It’s not to say that noctors can’t be competent within a narrow domain; it’s that they’re being taught to increase their scope of treatment beyond their training.

If it becomes common, then it’d be safer and more cost-effective to pay out of pocket and get treatment in another Westernized nation.

mothballed
2 months ago
1 reply
I basically treat NP/PAs and doctors as a pulse with a DEA license attached. Once you realize you basically need to figure it out for yourself, for much of anything but surgery and meds, you'll realize you are better off with them vs having police put you in a tiny cage for ordering drugs without a prescription (in my state I can self order imagery and labs, so don't need docs for that). I consider their opinion totally disposable but they offer some stuff the government will imprison me for if I don't get the magic signature for.

Just treat them as totally incompetent and nudge them where they need to go. No need to assume or rely on competence that may not exist.

nobodyandproud
2 months ago
1 reply
How do you “nudge”, in the middle of a surgery?
mothballed
2 months ago
1 reply
>for much of anything but surgery and meds,
nobodyandproud
2 months ago
So you’re excluding diagnosis w/ treatment: That is, where the greatest risks are and where the MDs are necessary.

It seems like a useless metric.

derbOac
about 2 months ago
IMHO the problem usually isn't the degree history, it's putting providers in situations where they lack the requisite training, or are understaffed in general. So you have, e.g., complaints about incompetent PAs being put into roles they are not as good at, but when you look at the details, they are being asked to do these things right out of school without background training, and there are insufficient staff period. But then the blame is put on the use of PAs, rather than the lack of supervision in a type of intervention or procedure before doing them, and insufficient staffing. The problem to me usually is e.g., private equity firms not requiring the right experience for the job, not the degree itself.

It's a bit weird and disingenuous to me — if you took a bunch of MDs right out of medical school with no residency training and asked them to function as a senior staff physician in a given specialty, there would be complaints about them as well. It's no different from hiring an inexperienced computer science BA graduate to handle a complex high-stakes network security position.

johnisgood
2 months ago
1 reply
FDA drug approval processes and insurance regulations.
palmotea
2 months ago
2 replies
> FDA drug approval processes

What, specifically? Just abolish them all, and return to the pre-1938 status quo (e.g. marketing radium water to cure what ails ya)? Or specific reforms to make the drug approval processes more effective?

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Radithor

cogman10
2 months ago
1 reply
Best way to make the entire process more efficient would be centralizing R&D and approval and nationalizing the manufacturing of drugs. MAYBE you could license out the rights to produce drugs on 10 or 20 year license agreements.

Turn it into a pure R&D effort and not one driven by profit.

ajmurmann
2 months ago
2 replies
Who is gonna decide how the R&D money gets spent? What's their skin in the game and their feedback mechanism? Why will they do a better job picking what to research than current pharmaceutical companies?
cogman10
2 months ago
1 reply
> Who is gonna decide how the R&D money gets spent?

Same way the NHS previously funded medical research. Grants and grant review. You can expand that department and effort.

> What's their skin in the game and their feedback mechanism?

Believe it or not, some people just want to research and look into cures for diseases. Shocking I know. Feedback can be reviews of their work and blackballing bad actors that consistently kick out bad research.

> Why will they do a better job picking what to research than current pharmaceutical companies?

Because they already are. Pharmaceuticals aren't doing the majority of research, they are taking NHS funded research and running it through FDA approval.

Ozempic, for example, didn't come from pharmaceutical research, it came from grant research into lizard spit.

ajmurmann
2 months ago
I used to believe in the efficiency of publicly funded research, especially for things that have no direct path to economic returns. My canonical example used to be particle physics. It promises incredible breakthroughs but commercial application is faaar down the road and the risk profile is crazy. The Sabine Hossenfelder convinced me otherwise: https://youtu.be/htb_n7ok9AU?si=fJ7B8QALLm3Vy-_W

I don't think we should cut all public funding for research, but we also need private research. While semaglutides were discovered in Gila Monsters a long time ago it was Novo Nordisk that put in many years of leg work to actually turn it into something useful for humans. The more interesting argument might be that Novo is controlled by a non-profit org.

palmotea
2 months ago
1 reply
> Who is gonna decide how the R&D money gets spent? What's their skin in the game and their feedback mechanism? Why will they do a better job picking what to research than current pharmaceutical companies?

Pharma companies are pretty terrible (e.g. pricing a cure for a kind of hepatitis just under a liver transplant, not because it costs that much, but because they can make the most money that way even though access is severely restricted). Getting rid of that market-driven terribleness may be a enough gain to justify the reform.

Personally, I'm so sick of the business-all-the-things approach and its well-known failure modes that I think society needs to put some effort into making other models work. Either straight up nationalization (with perhaps internal competition between research centers), or stricter oversight (e.g. putting government officials, patients, etc. on pharma company boards with enough power that the shareholders have to take a back seat).

ajmurmann
2 months ago
Somehow the pharma industry still doesn't bring in that much money. There is a reason we aren't all in pharma funds.
jamil7
2 months ago
> (e.g. marketing radium water to cure what ails ya)?

Sounds like something the current US health secretary might actually like.

potato3732842
2 months ago
1 reply
That's like saying "it's ok if I shit in the river, it's a big river". When a million other people do it you've got a water quality problem.

Each and every one of these regulations can in abstract, be justified by some useful idiot looking at only the first and second order inputs and outputs and not looking at the totality of the effects.

Nobody with a brain would defend shitting in the river, but here you are asking for individual turds so that they may be justified on the basis that the individual dropping them was relieved and their individual impact on water quality was minor.

scott_w
2 months ago
1 reply
No it's not. Shitting in a river is always a net negative. Regulations can be positive, negative, or ineffective. Trying to "just count" the regulations to determine quality completely discards this critical dimension and betrays an almost childlike view of the world.
potato3732842
2 months ago
1 reply
>Shitting in a river is always a net negative

It beats anything open air by miles. Sure, an outhouse would be better but river > street.

>Trying to "just count" the regulations to determine quality completely discards this critical dimension and betrays an almost childlike view of the world.

You're grasping at straws here. I am under no obligation to give such an infantile opinion (the one I initially replied to) a response at length. This is not the venue for such minutia.

scott_w
2 months ago
> I am under no obligation to give such an infantile opinion

Responding with “I know you are but what am I?” is just proving my point.

pfdietz
2 months ago
1 reply
Another issue is the requirement that doctors adhere to "standard of care" regardless of cost. If they don't, they are subject to malpractice lawsuits.

Elsewhere, quality of a good or service is traded against cost. But in medicine, there's a cost ratchet as ever more expensive and marginally more performant treatments are introduced.

bilbo0s
2 months ago
This is another example of a requirement that both PE owned and non PE owned hospitals, presumably, followed.e (I would hope neither of them were ignoring standards of care in the treatment of patients.) Yet the metrics are substandard at only the PE owned hospitals. So you would need to outline how this requirement unduly burdened the PE owned hospital relative to the non PE owned hospital for it to be the cause of the discrepancy.

There may be such a reason, but you haven't outlined it in your post.

landl0rd
2 months ago
1 reply
- The AMA froze the number of med schools for decades even as residency availability increased.

- The majority of states still maintain "certificate of need" laws for new hospitals, ambulance providers, etc.

- The AMA holds a state-enforced monopoly over physicians.

- Many states still limit NPs/PAs, requiring physician supervision for things for which those people were trained.

- Lack of interstate reciprocity in licensing means mobility is constrained and supply can't follow demand.

- Costly medical equipment usually requires first-party repairs; mfgs claim a third-party modification (repair) constitutes remanufacturing under FDA regs.

- Stark law makes e.g. physician/hospital value-based care arrangements very hard. It's quite strict and everyone has to tiptoe around it a bit.

There's also the huge problem of malpractice insurance costs due to insane tort settlements. Awards need to be capped yesterday because it's too easy to talk a jury into bankrupting people over things that legitimately just sometimes happen.

I'm guessing others could give you an even better list. Some of those are a bigger deal than others but it's a huge issue. Insurance net margins just aren't high enough to blame it and drug costs aren't enough of our total healthcare spend to be at fault.

It comes down to humans being too expensive. There remain many areas of care where we can't cut man-hours down without sacrificing safety and quality. As such, we should reduce the insane byzantine co-ordination and compliance overhead.

dimal
2 months ago
Don’t forget that the AMA has a monopoly on billing codes. Medicare defines the billing value of every procedure as Relative Value Units (RVUs). Then Medicare defers to AMA’s guidance on what these values should be. Insurers default to RVUs x multiplier. So the AMA has the ability to set prices.

Oh, and patient value isn’t considered for these units. They are explicitly defined as input driven, so a procedure that is less costly to perform but has higher value to the patient will be billed at a lower value. Hospitals are incentivized to choose procedures that they can bill at a higher rate, and so because of these perverse incentives, they necessarily will ignore cheaper more effective treatments and choose the more expensive ones.

I’m a lefty, but the older I get the less I believe in the old New Deal style leftism I’ve been sold my whole life. As systems get more complex, they simply become a way to obfuscate oligarchic control.

mimikatz
2 months ago
Let nurses do more, let them write some prescriptions, let them open up a shop that puts casts on people with broken bones and minor things which they mostly do anyways.
derbOac
about 2 months ago
Others have kind of mentioned a lot of things I might anyway, and it's hard to summarize what I think is necessary. But to summarize, I think there needs to be a deregulation of licensing or practice laws to allow other types of providers to do more, of the sort they are perfectly capable of doing (and that studies show they can do) — pharmacists, psychologists, and optometrists are just some examples — and I think there needs to be more flexibility and diversity in terms of provider types and degree paths. My guess is there are many types of providers we can't even envision right now because there's such a rigid schema about what healthcare professionals should look like. I also think, for example, there are probably a lot of cases where someone could go from a PA -> MD degree without returning to do a second degree; I might be wrong about that but these are the types of things that should be encouraged at least as experiments.

I also generally think there's a lot of choice that could be encouraged in terms of drug access. I generally think people should be able to buy medications and drugs without a prescription, or at least under the monitoring of a pharmacist or something, or at least in most cases. I can think of medications that there have literally been papers written saying that they are safe to give without a prescription decades ago and they still require a prescription; there's also medications that people take for years safely, and it seems kinda absurd to require them to get a prescription for them. My thoughts about the FDA itself are complex and could probably an essay in itself.

I'm very in favor of public healthcare, and public healthcare institutions but I also feel a lot should be deregulated or reregulated toward greater openness, choice, and competition. There's probably a lot of areas where there should be more regulation too I suppose — I think antitrust principles should be applied to insurance and hospital consolidation more often.

maxerickson
2 months ago
Certificates of need. To reduce costs, we supposedly perfectly plan capacity and prevent over investment.

Should also probably drop requiring an ER for Medicare certification and just directly subsidize ERs.

giancarlostoro
2 months ago
2 replies
I summarize it with one word after talking to a hospital billing manager. Subsidized costs. If you cant pay someone else will be receive marked up prices. On top of that and bear with me, but the way health insurance works feels like you gotta be in the right “mob family” where each provider is different in leverage in conjunction with which employer you work for. They can just take hospitals out of their “network” if they dont lower costs, so small businesses dont get this level of leverage, but employers with large numbers of employees do. You could have someone with a drastically lower bill just because of where they work, not even related to how much they make mind you.

It all goes back to your healthcare costs being subsidized by those who are left with the crappy end of the stick. I think transparency in hospital billing is drastically necessary. If not for every single surgery out there at least for all the really standard things that arent so complicated.

I am not a doctor. I think healthcare can be fixed without throwing more government money at it, but we need people to understand it better and work out how to bring costs down.

If you are not aware yet, if you think you need to go to the ER think about what you NEED, is your arm broken? This sounds crazy but find a lab that will xray your arm. It will cost way less, and sometimes the insurance will pay the full cost of labs for you since you saved them a fortune. It sounds dumb, but it could save you so much financially. If you are in more urgent needs dont waste any time go get the care you need.

joe_the_user
2 months ago
1 reply
If you are not aware yet, if you think you need to go to the ER think about what you NEED, is your arm broken?

Just noticed this comment. Wow, free ideology seems to turn people into monsters. "No you" (in kids voice). You diagnose your own heart-attack/kidney-failure/etc. I'll take a professional.

giancarlostoro
2 months ago
1 reply
What I mean is, is it something where you know you need an xray, but arent like bleeding out, etc if you're unsure, just go to a professional, but if you are 100% confident you can save yourself the headache of hospital billing, definitely do.
joe_the_user
2 months ago
No one is 100% sure of medical diagnosis, jeesh. Quite a few people ignore the symptoms of serious diseases until its too late and others go in for minor things.

Not even medical doctors can sure of a diagnosis, where of themselves or others. And the average person lacks the knowledge of a doctor.

joe_the_user
2 months ago
I disagree with your analysis. I think you are wrong.

Health Care is a natural monopoly like an electrical system. Basically, a large portion of health care the creation of infrastructure that everyone benefits from. An MRI machine or whatever is benefit to everyone since everyone might need it even if only some people actually use it, etc.

For that reason, the cost of procedures, infrastructure, etc, etc. are infinitely debatable and there is no true way to way to assign costs. And sure, the actual assignments are irrational but framing this "things are subsidized" has things exactly backwards.

Here's scenario - suppose electrical companies weren't responsible for maintaining their own grids and homeowners had to individually maintain insurance in the event of a pylon going down. Suppose if you didn't have insurance and could be tagged as the last user of a substation, you could in-hoc for the entire cost of repairing a pylon or whatever. This would only approach the irrationality of private medicine but I think it illustrates the situation. (and the finance system might manage to put that in place too if we're not careful).

dev_l1x_be
2 months ago
1 reply
Yes, or government intervention that looks good on paper and disastrous in practice.

Somehow people have this notion that healthcare should be treated differently than other service industries.

I would argue that the least amount of government control yields to the best result. There is only the size limitations (antitrust) that had potentially good outcomes. We could simply ban m&a above a certain size and make the externalities have an impact on revenue and that would be probably enough.

DarkNova6
2 months ago
Somehow US citizens have this notion that healthcare is a universal problem and that US-problems are not self inflicted.

Everywhere else in the civilized world, you pay less and have better service. The US has the highest degree of industry meddling, most middlemen cashing out and the least governmental regulation. You are objectively being lied to.

thisislife2
2 months ago
1 reply
"Regulatory capture" is a nice euphemism for the problems that a corrupt political environment creates. It is corruption that really hampers the creation of a fair and competitive capitalistic market.

Regulation can indeed be balanced to create a fair and competitive capitalistic environment. A great example of this was the telecom industry in India during Dr. Manmohan Singh's government. Both the economic and telecom policies created a very booming and competitive telecom industry in India, with many foreign and local businesses trying their best, to be the best. It also ensured that the technology was accessible and affordable to all, providing a further fillip to the indian economy that increased connectivity delivers in a society. Contrast that 2+ decades later with the current telecom industry scenario in India where only 3 major private players (and 1 government owned company) survives today due to flawed and corrupt policies of the Narendra Modi government. (As the government owned telecom enterprise now doesn't really "compete" with the private players, the 3 private players have already formed a cartel to dictate pricing, and keep gouging the public, with increased pricing, with the connivance of a government that believes in oligarchy vis the South Korea Chaebol model).

And let's not ignore that regulation is necessary in a democracy because capitalists are only (rightly) focused on creating capital. But obviously they are not the only contributing members of a society (nor, do I dare say, the most important ones) and the rights and needs of others in a society are just as important in a democracy. That is why everyone today also realises that things like monopoly, hoarding or black marketing, for example, aren't good for the overall well-being of a society, even if that's how capitalists can derive "maximum" value (i.e. make the most profit). History says that imperialism is the capitalist model that delivered peak "efficiency" in terms of deriving the maximum "value" for the (low) capital invested in it. But obviously, imperialism, even in its limited form today, is not compatible with democracy or concepts of sovereignty.

burnt-resistor
2 months ago
The problem in the US is there are too many rich people devoid of morals and less rich people who support them and are brainwashed into ideological opposition of most or all regulation and government without nuance. Furthermore, Americans in aggregate condone being ruled by extreme inhumanity, corruption, stupidity, and greed by lack of effective objection. It's like an old-school third-world country and Americans either don't realize how bad they have it or lack the courage to do anything about it.
someguynamedq
2 months ago
1 reply
Why are we talking about deregulation when the topic is the ill effects of unregulated rentier profit seeking behavior of PE firms? We need to make debt loading and dividend recapitalization of hospitals illegal. Let them hollow out Neiman Marcus and Dunkin doughnuts, I don't really care. But financial engineering should have no place in our healthcare system.
tptacek
2 months ago
Because the PE firms are exploiting a broken regulatory system, obviously.
baq
2 months ago
'Your appendix is my pension plan dividend'

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