New-Vehicle Avg Price Hits Record High in Sep, Surges Past $50k for First Time
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The average price of new vehicles hit a record high of over $50,000 in September, sparking discussion on the impact of rising prices on consumer affordability and the automotive industry's future.
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I always find it interesting how smug people who live in the city and/or have little experience in rural America can be about these kinds of topics.
Allow me to be extra smug then. I live in a small town with an Amtrak station. It was hard work finding this place, but well worth it to me. It means I never have to drive an automobile again. That makes me happy.
My guess is that it is another form if hidden predictionism, even though Americans desperately need cheap cars, just like they need cheap apartments.
Depends on where you live, obviously, but I used to own a C3 (on the list) and it was a perfectly usable car.
https://www.dacia.ro/gama-dacia/sandero.html
https://www.dacia.ro/gama-dacia/sandero-stepway.html
https://www.whatcar.com/best/the-10-cheapest-new-cars-you-ca...
The Dacia Logan and Sandero Stepway, especially, are quite usable as family cars.
We have no idea if they are better at it, the last time there was a level playing field they weren’t a developed country.
Having some labor quality of life concerns, making sure we aren't being undercut as a national security issue is fine. Having the chicken tax, destroying investments in solar energy and electric grids and EV charging is not.
We have bad manufacturing incentives in this country, our government wants the US to fail at solar, and the Chinese are playing to win.
We can also pressure them to enact equivalent environmental protections and refuse to trade otherwise, which would be great for the planet. Checking compliance would be difficult though, lying is culturally treated differently in different places.
It's absurd, to be honest. We financed our last vehicle, because we got a price discount via financing. The FIRST payment term they brought us was 8 years. And this was for a 19k vehicle.
People aren't looking at the terms, they're just looking at the payments. They're paying more for cars than they are for houses, monthly. I don't get it.
Affordable Care Act?
I’m gonna go out on a limb and guess it was a Nissan dealership. Nissan can’t sell enough cars without subprime lending, that’s my guess as to why you were offered a 96-month term lol.
With a prime credit score, Toyota offered a 3 year term loan to me which I changed to 5 years (2.5%, it’s free money)
What does this mean? Surely lenders are not lending more than the price of the new car with just the new car as the collateral.
A dealership would take the car worth $5k and lend you $35k?
Past a certain point, it’s better to run it into the ground.
It would be very interesting to compare finances and see what it is that both of us are doing that gives us such wildly different perspectives.
You're right: broken gearbox on mine was a solid 15 K EUR at least. But... I paid zero.
My solution is simple: I buy a high-end luxury car used (four to five years old) but I then religiously pay every year for the official extended manufacturer warranty.
I pay 1400 EUR per year for that warranty but then any yellow or red light on the dashboard, any issue (sunroof not opening, sound system speaker broken, NAV issue, anything really), I bring it to any official dealership, in any country in the world and they fix it (it's already been at least to dealerships in Belgium (various little issues), France (gearbox but they didn't fix it: they didn't believe me it was broken), Germany (gearbox replaced), Spain (wipers broke down after a 1700 km road trip under heavy rain: like... it was just too much for the motor 15 hours non-stop), Andorra (yellow light, forgot what it was) and Poland (headlight was getting old and cranky, this summer)).
Car is now 12 y/o and 115 000 miles / 190 000 km and I just renewed the warranty for another two years, unlimited mileage.
For that's the thing with high-end luxury cars too: you have fancy stuff like a warranty valid until 15 years old and 350 000 miles / 400 000 km if you want (if I were to bring it in two years in Sep 2027 with 400 000 km and a broken engine, they'd be forced to replace it just like they were forced to replace the gearbox).
And that warranty is valid in any country in the world. And they give you a spare vehicle. And you've got assistance taking care of everything should you be stuck. For 120 EUR / month on a used car to me it's a no-brainer.
And in two years I'll just sell the car for 15 K EUR or something and buy another high-end luxury car, used (four or five years old), again.
I think for people who enjoy high-end cars but don't want to deal with the stress of having an engine or a gearbox breaking, a used high-end luxury car with an extended warranty is a good solution.
Practically I give to you that it's still just metal on four wheels.
So modern lux cars are actually pretty well-made and pretty reliable these days. The only catch is that they’re designed with the assumption that all maintenance will be done at the dealer and that the driver never sees a bill.
Once you exit that - do maintenance elsewhere or not under warranty, the costs become ridiculous and people start skipping necessary items. So the car breaks down and the repairs are even more ridiculous. So off to the junkyard it goes.
Stay inside the dealer+warranty bubble and you have a pretty good time, although many people will question your sanity buying an expensive extended warranty for a 12-year old car ;)
[1] https://www.wired.com/story/evs-are-losing-up-to-50-percent-...
It's clearly a massive priority for a lot of people but not one I understand either.
A large portion of people buying cars barely have a couple thousand to put down for a down-payment.
When you add in registration fees, sales tax, etc - a large portion of car owners can't do this without financing.
Maybe none of them should be car owners - but most of them live in places where you have no option to get anywhere besides private vehicles, so...
>50% of Americans have less than $2000 in savings: https://www.federalreserve.gov/publications/2025-economic-we...
Statistically, the vast majority of buyers would prefer to buy a nicer car and finance it.
The reality is - unless you know a lot about cars - more times than not - you're going to spend WAY more money on a 20 year old car with >150,000 miles - then you are on financing a car 4x the price - and, especially, you don't need the $1520 that those people don't have to begin with.
>30% of Americans wouldn't even have the $1520 you paid.
Either you get ripped off at the point of sale (the car is totalled from any sane valuation) or you'll eventually get ripped off by mechanics.
Again, if this doesn't apply to you - then great - but it's not really surprising why people ignore the age-old adage to buy a car in cash when interest rates were negative in real terms for a generation.
E.g. 4.54% at 36 months https://www.penfed.org/auto/car-buying-service
Not saying that means you drop 50k on something else, when when a new Corolla can be had for between $22k-28k MSRP, I’d think pretty hard about gambling my $15k on a 10 year old unknown.
The car chip shortage caused the resale value of cars to skyrocket. In the past few years my 15 year old CRV, which just passed 100k miles, has gone UP in value according to my mechanic because the used car market is so bad.
Many car dealerships, already well-known for poor consumer practices, have straight up refused to sell cars to people who don't wish to finance because they can make a lot more money off someone who wants to finance. You used to be able to convince them you planned to finance, then buy the car in full at the last minute, and the salesperson would do so because of sunk investment. Not anymore, many of my friends have experienced this firsthand when shopping for a new vehicle.
Combine this with it being all-but-required for people in the US to have a personal vehicle and drive if they want a job ("reliable transportation" in job postings), new & used car dealers have the additional leverage of time pressure as people can and do get fired for their car breaking down.
What I see a lot of wealthy people do, on the other hand, is finance a luxury vehicle, drive it for 3-5 years, then trade in for a newer model. Used to be lots of luxury vehicles, like the Giulia Quadrifoglio, with 20-30k miles for 30-40% of the original vehicle cost (25k-35k) which is an incredible deal for a luxury brand. This isn't really a thing anymore as the cost of a new car skyrockets.
As always, just go to FRED to ask these questions. This graph charts the ratio of the "New Vehicles" CPI value to the "All Items" CPI:
https://fred.stlouisfed.org/graph/?g=1N48P
That's the salesman's way of saying that other goods (like gas and now electricity) have been getting more expensive faster than cars.
If you put 2 and 2 together, driving is getting considerably more expensive driven by more expensive cars and fuel, which one is rising faster is immaterial, inflation is the original problem but a used car salesman will find a way to use it to prove it doesn't exist.
I'm at a loss. I literally showed you a graph showing that cars were getting cheaper over time. Do you not believe it, or maybe misunderstand what inflation is? You can chart new car price vs. median income too, it shows the same shape.
Fuel's a little more complicated. It's gone up in the last decade, but was going down in the 60's through 90's (not least because cars were getting more efficient). There was a trough in the late 90's.
You're literally wrong. The graph shows only that cars are getting more expensive over time just not as mush as gas.
> You can chart new car price vs. median income too, it shows the same shape.
Shape? Median? Not good enough. I want to see the price piloted against each decile of income.
> Do you not believe it, or maybe misunderstand what inflation is?
Inflation is a tax imposed by one group on another. Maybe you misunderstand what it is?
Gas isn't on the chart. It's showing the ratio between the auto segment of CPI (how expensive "a car" is) to the broader CPI metric (how expensive everything else is, on average). And it's going down.
I strongly suggest you think harder on the subject and study the chart (and FRED more generally) a bit.
> Inflation is a tax imposed by one group on another.
Yikes. Cite for that definition?
You have person A - who cannot set inflation and with severely limited opportunity to invest anywhere.
You have person B - who can invest in anything and also happens to influence the level of inflation.
Guess who is going to get ahead here.
The inability of people, even otherwise smart HN commenters, to reason about how inflation works has been really shocking to me.
[1] Literally 5x their net worth, or "20% down" in the local jargon
I have a strong suspicion that you aren't actually making an economic point.
Maybe but either way, person A CANNOT set the price of anything because a house is not a productive asset, it does NOT produce anything that you can attach a new price to. The rich asset owners can, they can drive prices up and gain from both ends of the inflation scam.
> The home value inflates but your mortgage payments stay the same for decades.
Literally untrue for variable mortgages that are now the rule. More importantly, it's absolutely irrelevant at any scale for the reasons cited above and because inflating house prices don't protect from inflation - you pay a huge tax on housing for just being there, which isn't the case for the rich asset owners. Sales taxes are separate.
Then if the house goes up in price and you sell it, old and depreciated, you will have to buy another one at an inflated price, or go homeless, or live in an moldy old hose again that'll cost you a lot more for medical bills.
> The inability of people, even otherwise smart HN commenters, to reason about how inflation been really shocking to me.
The inability of people, who otherwise think themselves smart at economics, to reason about anything has never been shocking to me, it goes way back in history. Their "reasoning" amounts only to lame gaslighting attempts and they can never get out of that mode of thinking.
You never mentioned anything about the income curves by decile - inflation is a redistribution tool, it results in increasing income inequality which we observe. I gave you the explanation for that correlation.
This is incorrect. 92% of US mortgages are fixed-rate [1].
> Then if the house goes up in price and you sell it, old and depreciated,
How can a house go up in price and become depreciated? If your home value goes up and you need to make repairs to it, you can take out a loan on the surplus value of your home also known as a reverse mortgage.
> You never mentioned anything about the income curves by decile - inflation is a redistribution tool, it results in increasing income inequality which we observe. I gave you the explanation for that correlation.
Yes this is largely because lower income deciles tend to hold more cash than assets [2] and inflation affects the purchasing power of cash directly while asset prices are "secured" by the value of the asset itself. Because the richer tend to hold more in assets they eat less impact with inflation.
Now that home ownership rates are so low among folks younger than 40, a big source of inflation-decoupled assets is unavailable. Though there's a greater question around whether it's even possible for homes to both appreciate and be affordable at the same time.
Honestly this discussion could use more sources and less pontificating.
[1]: https://fortune.com/article/current-arm-mortgage-rates-09-22...
[2]: https://www.federalreserve.gov/publications/october-2023-cha...
Trump has to point this out not you. Instead he promised this:
“Starting on day one, we will end inflation and make America affordable again, to bring down the prices of all goods.” NBC Montana, Trump Rally in Bozeman
It's just that our wages have not kept up (we don't see 40k -> 50k as shrug money).
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