How Big a Solar Battery Do I Need to Store All My Home's Electricity?
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The article explores the feasibility of storing all summer-generated solar electricity for winter use, sparking a discussion on the practicality and economics of large-scale home battery storage.
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However, if you were wanting to use pure lead acid batteries for your house, because you'd be doing slow charge/discharge you'd probably be able to get away with just 1100 130ah lead acid car batteries.
I mean you'd be optimising for peak current, which isn't what you'd want. However it could be interesting to see what happens when you have ~500mega Amps at 48v. (24Mw would heat your radiators up pretty quick. )
for lithium, then you'd need 12-14 secondhand tesla/polstar batteries, which if they caught fire, might be a challenge to contain.
LiFePO3 batteries don't take as much wear from cycling, so they usually wear out from time elapsed instead of over-use. It's economically sensible to cycle LiFePO3 batteries as frequently as possible to get as much "benefit" out of the investment. They're great for time-shifting energy production by charging them at a cheap time of day and discharging them when you need the energy at an expensive time of day.
People will park them at home every night, and probably somewhere with a charging point during the day.
Smart house energy management should be able to pick up on that usage pattern and use the car battery for the house while making sure the car is kept ready for use.
In the same way that wifi/mobile/satellite comms can keep us "always connected", the changes in power generation and storage are going to keep us "fully charged".
Vehicle-to-load ("V2L") is currently offered in vehicles made by Hyundai, Ford, GM, Volkswagen, Volvo, Mitsubishi and Nissan (the new LEAF).
Vehicle-to-grid (V2G) is more ambitious.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Vehicle-to-grid
I have 1000 litres of heating oil in my back garden which is hardly unflamable. 10MWh of fuel.
Every other fire you can stop if you're right there and you catch it. If a battery pack starts to go, you might have a few seconds before the local environment is incompatible with life.
LFP (rarely used for cars) is fairly stable. And sodium batteries are even more stable.
The interesting impact will be on the grid itself. Why connect to the grid if you are self-sufficient?
Then the grid starts to degrade due to lack of maintenance, and the people that can't afford local storage become dependent essentially on a government maintained service.
Or should we be planning localized storage and grids at the same time, so we get the benefits of both scale and resiliency and redundancy.
People will be parking a mobile 100kWh battery at their house every night. We need integrated V2G and grid upgrades to make the most of this opportunity.
However, you need to consider industrial and commercial use as well as domestic. Can you power a smelter using local solar?
Very few people go fully off-grid, reality is people don't want that. Cost/benefit just isn't there unless you live off in the woods.
So instead, market structures react when penetration % becomes non-neglible. First you start seeing things like fixed-fees (minimum prices to maintain a grid connection, or "first x kWh are included"). And then you start seeing like what's in California with NEM3: the grid-export prices drop to "we don't want your excess solar" so people are incentivized to buy batteries. But because batteries make a system more complicated and expensive, people buy smaller systems overall.
So the "too much solar creates a disconnection spiral and the system falls apart" thing is a bit of fear-mongering. The system adapts, the changes in pricing create different cost/benefit ratios, and if nothing else, new AI datacenters will gobble up any power that doesn't need to flow to neighborhoods.
Battery costs might go down, but the space they take up on your property costs money as well, which only gets more expensive the more urban you are.
The island of Eigg has a micro-grid. Not individual houses, a micro-grid.
The UK is going to be a wind power island not a solar power island, and definitely not an individual solar power island.
I grew up in Australia used to a grid averaging perhaps an hour’s downtime in the typical year. But now I live in India, and not only is the power frequently off for hours at a time (it’s a rare week that lacks an hour of downtime, and five or ten hours isn’t uncommon), the quality of the power is also far lower, and it damages hardware. It’s normal for AC units to need mildly expensive component replacements every year or two due to electrical damage, even with the obligatory voltage regulator in place, whereas in Australia I think most people never need to professionally service their AC until it completely packs up after maybe 15 years. If you’re going to want a decent-sized inverter and batteries anyway to get reliable power, then so long as you can get enough solar panellage, getting those solar panels and more batteries and going off-grid becomes mighty attractive—I suspect a payoff period of under a decade, even with comparatively cheap grid power, partly on the strength of electronics living longer.
—⁂—
Somewhere along the way, it actually becomes mandatory to be connected to such services. In Australia I lived in a rural town of under 100 people, and I asked if I could disconnect from the town water supply, and was told no. So that was some sum of mandatory daily connection fee for something that I would have preferred to unsubscribe from. (Town water was only hooked up to some outdoor taps, and the toilet; the supply had only become treated/potable five years prior, so every house was still hooked up to their rainwater tanks. In fact, the guy I bought the place from said that twenty years earlier you didn’t use the town water on your garden because it would kill the plants.)
I think that starts to bleed into the "pre paid meter" vs contract argument.
but practically the difference between total self sufficiency and 90% is willingness to fork out cash.
I currently have a 13kwhr battery, which covers my domestic power needs for 75% of the year. (we'll start to draw on the grid in the next few weeks.) but in the dead of winter it'll only cover 20-50% of my daily need (excluding the car)
but for car power, thats a different beast. Even though I don't commute by car, with the charging at home, I now use around the same amount of power as the uk average house. (even with solar and storage. pre electic car era. )
Many services that we use in our daily lives are government maintained services, so electricity is no different than water, sewage, internet, roads, railroads, post, emergency services, public education, public health systems, trash and recycling services, parks and recreational spaces, disaster relief and response, and others.
We should absolutely ensure these services continue to be funded and maintained, because they're often not profitable to deliver. Especially to the sprawling population of the United States. That’s exactly why government support exists and should exist: to guarantee access to essential services that markets alone won’t reliably or equitably provide.
- every household, can do that, _if_ they have a roof. appartment buildings may not have enough roof for all the people in it.
- for those who can't access that, (that includes people, but also the industry, your mobile phone provider, etc.) prices will get worse.
- the fire brigade will love industrial-size battery fires in the neighbourhood.
So once the improvements in power transmission are done prices should come down for everyone.
The "improvements" in power transmission is about building more lines, these lines are not going to be significantly cheaper to maintain than previous generations, and if these investment/maintenance costs are shared among less, that means more expensive electricity. Currently, in my country, electricity transport and distribution are about one third of total cost.
Grid scale batteries will also primarily reduce cost by offering arbitration.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Balcony_solar_power
A program like this shouldn't take more than a weekend to cover all the issues including a Hands-On lab. A second weekend could be added for ground mounted solar setups.
I'd be willing to pay a couple hundred bucks get such a ticket.
Any time you're exporting to the grid, you're losing out - the rates are never good. Check out the OP's graph. His setup is oversized by about 2x. He's exporting to the grid for most of the day, which is hardly useful, then pulling from the grid after 6pm - the worst of both worlds. Downsizing the solar setup 2x and investing that into batteries would be much better.
It's not a surprise that your bill is rising if people consume less during the day because they install balcony solar, but don't meaningfully change their peak consumption, and therefore, don't meaningfully reduce the grid investment required.
At least the blog's author has a battery setup which meaningfully moves their peak draw.
The overlap with people who have their own solar-compatible roof is probably large.
The answer is somewhere in the neighborhood of as much as one can safely store and afford accepting that batteries have a short life. Much like wells in cold climates the batteries should be in an underground insulated vault made from higher quality concrete as to keep fire hazards away from the home. That is also where whole-home generators and fuel belong, in their own vault so they can be easily maintained without having to rent an excavator to dig out the tank.
Which aligns with as much as one can afford. If one calculated an exact amount they would not be able to get the results you are getting.
does it? Panels are not the most expensive part of the system any more. Overcapacity of panels isn't the bottleneck any more. Battery capacity or roof space might be instead.
I think it's called a 'grid'.
It just makes much more sense to have a big battery where the local substation is, than for everyone to install megawatts of battery individually.
https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2025/sep/10/south-da...
Are there any other long term high density electric storage technologies that can fit in someones basement, garage, or even apartment closet?
To achieve volumetric energy density of hydrogen at room temperature that's on par with batteries (and that's charitably assuming you're using inefficient resistance heating with batteries) you need to store it at a pressure in the order of 100 bar.
You're better off with batteries realistically speaking.
In any case, it all depends on what you want to stand next to. A large explosion, or a multi-day metal fire releasing clouds of hydrogen flouride.
https://youtu.be/JzdnUZReoLM?feature=shared
I suspect the answer is somewhere in the middle - maybe two weeks of storage. Though of course prices change all the time so the correct action will change and you need to rerun the numbers as things degrade to decide your next action.
My 1.8kWh system at 20% output covers a great percentage of my baseline usage during the day! I'm probably going to add a small battery so I'm not penalized for sending energy back to the grid, but I'm not gonna need much until my kids get older and want new gadgets. The cool part about modern electronics is that we're generally getting more efficient too with newer tech. If I replace the old freezer, my baseline usage drops 20%+.
I don't disagree with your point that sometimes nature is simply just working too hard against your efforts, but I also wrote all this to say that some people need to really do the math and not rely on "common knowledge". Energy efficiency has come an extremely long way in the past decade and much of what was true when residential solar first started popping off is now outdated.
FWIW, a MacBook Pro in active use uses like 45 watts max and an iPhone really like 2-7 depending on the use. I wouldn't worry too much about gadgets.
Way too much to fit on a house though.
I do say:
> As solar panels increase in efficiency, it might be more sensible to replace the panels on my roof, or add some onto a shed.
Even in the darkest days of winter, they still generate something (unless they're physically covered in snow) - but they'd need to be 20x as efficient to power my typical winter usage.
Our roof is an even East/West split. So one side powers our morning and the other side our afternoon.
We have east and south and our peak production is when the sun is at the south-east, in the middle of the two faces. The east face production drops off from there on out until it's a fraction of what the south face is generating.
https://profilesolar.com/locations/Sweden/Stockholm/
Right now Denmark produces 1724 MW from solar panels even though it is an overcast and rainy day: https://energinet.dk/energisystemet-lige-nu/
Our current usage is relatively high: 5944 MW.
Remaining supply is: 3458 from windmills, 357 from fossils and 434 from import from other countries (mostly hydro/wind).
So if Denmark doubled the amount of windmills (it is a very windy country) and solar panels then Denmark would be able to run of windmills and solar panels even in the autumn.
2024:
May: 2494 kWh
Jun: 2323
Jul: 1915
Aug: 1634
Sep: 1008
Oct: 442
Nov: 185
Dec: 31
2025:
Jan: 43
Feb: 335
Mar: 980
Apr: 1510
My detached house has less space for solar panels than some smaller homes because all faces of the hip roof are triangular; lots of houses nearby that are semi's or terraced actually end up having more roof space because their roof faces are rectangular.
I managed to have 14x 465W panels total added on the east and south faces of my home, but the installer wanted an extra 40% of the total system price to add 5 more panels (and the 15th they couldn't fit on the south face, for 6 total on the west) because they'd have had to erect additional scaffolding and who knows what else. That was an absurd additional cost so we didn't do it, but that additional generation late into the afternoon would have been great for our peak usage at dinner time. My suspicion is they simply didn't want to do it, because the cost just doesn't add up.
On an overcast day at this time of year I can generate nearly enough to power the "baseline" of the house, but currently I receive 24p/kWh to sell the energy back, and I can charge the batteries at 15p/kWh over night, so I can break even if I can generate just enough to export to cover the night-time charge of the batteries.
I haven't had them long enough to run through winter yet so we'll have to wait and see, but based on the end of this summer, I could probably cover the winter usage with export payback through summer at the current tariff rates when we were generating about 100% more than we were using per day.
I suspect the introductory tariff is far more generous than I'll have access to in a year's time when it expires though.
I suspect that something like 3x'ing the solar (under 100k) would then let the author get away with much, much less battery, and result in a net cost savings.
My guess is the differences in either choice aren't huge, as both solar and battery storage keeps getting cheaper.
Having an electric vehicle can really help, also. It basically soaks up excess solar power of an outsized installation during much of the year (making the payback time on the outsized installation very good), and can be charged away from the house during a few low-chance bad winter days when the outsized installation is enough to power the house but not the car. Electric cars are charged fully about 3 times per month on average in the US, so working around that with smart charging is not a complex challenge in the next decade.
But that is a super interesting question that immediately comes to mind.
I am pretty sceptical about batteries and see overbuilding renewables plus bitcoin mining to monetize excess as a more viable solution.
Higher the cycle life, lower the levelised cost of storage and this is what matters in my opinion. Best is to have some type of long term storage like a Diesel generator only for estimated 1-2 weeks of the year depending on location where it will be needed.
I feel V2G with 3 days backup and a house low power mode which can be utilised in emergencies might solve even this issue.
Oversizing solar to the extent possible for winter loads is also ideal because so far that does not seem to be the driving cost.
https://www.volts.wtf/p/whats-the-deal-with-sodium-ion-batte...
I feel that long term energy storage will be split between thermal and non thermal in interesting ways and the market for them will open up after first level of daily disruption
I hadn't really thought about thermal tech in such extreme terms until your comment, but to me it appears to be the tape storage of our times. There will always be a fair amount of infrastructure hidden that almost nobody knows about, but it's going to be dwarfed in active usage by HDDs or SDDs.
The tech advantages really are that big for batters and other solid state energy tech over the moving parts thermal variety. Thermal tech hasn't had an upgrade like LTO-6 (or is it 7 now) and is pretty much at the end of its possible engineered capabilities, but batteries are just barely getting started on what they are capable of.
LNG or propane would be far superior fuel types for long term standby generators. Periodically exercising a machine that runs on CH4 results in very minimal buildup on internal components. Liquid fuels are much dirtier and can also go bad.
Diesel is used in situations where you can afford all of the crazy maintenance. It's worth the trade off if you can.
Up until a year ago where I live, Chevron 94 Octane was ethanol free. I had issues with older carbureted engines after leaving gas in them for ~2 years. With E10 I wouldn't dare go that long as it can be so corrosive.
I'm going to have a hell of a time with LPG.
Diesel plus <any other kind of fuel> isn't available on cheap residential units I'm aware of, particularly as the ignition and fuel injection mechanisms are much more complex than a gasoline/propane mechanism.
[1] https://www.ecoflow.com/us/dual-fuel-smart-generator
Unless you live in a location without much sunlight, it’s better to invest in a solar powered system with a transfer switch to go off grid.
If you size the system appropriately it can recharge the battery by day during an outage and now you can operate off-grid for a very long time.
Diesel generators come with maintenance overhead that adds up year over year. They also contribute nothing during normal times, as opposed to a solar install which can offset electricity costs or even earn money.
If you live somewhere dark this is less helpful, though.
Consumption also matters. Some people have eye-popping amounts of electricity consumption while other households get by with far less. The difference, including heating and cooling costs, is surprisingly large between the highest and lowest households.
A good diesel generator is going to need very little maintenance operating few hundred hours per year.
Why do people talk about engines like they are unreliable? They are modern marvels.
My Powerwall quietly sits there charged and waiting to be under load, and charges to full when storm mode is activated (or I activate it manually). It has a 10 year warranty, 15 years if part of a virtual power plant (which my storage participates in with the local utility). It requires no maintenance. I also received a 30% federal tax credit for the Powerwall, which the building will not receive for a generator.
TLDR Diesel generators where you might be without mains for a while and intend to replenish the fuel with deliveries during the outage, fossil gas for use cases where gas delivery pipelines are available (urban, suburban), propane for offgrid use cases (rural, cell towers, etc) where fuel longevity is a concern.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Fuel_polishing
Generators need to be exercised and maintained. You are committing to fire that thing up for a few hours every month, just to make sure it's in running order when you need it (I used to work next to a hospital that fired them every week).
I had a 1990s car that started right up with 2015 fuel that sat in its tank for 9 months.
Fuel is easy because we have an external tank with a visual gauge that you can read from several feet away. When they added DEF they neglected to add a DEF gauge that's as easy to read. Thank goodness they sell DEF at any old truck stop.
This can easily be automated, Generac will handle testing for residential generators.
Do you really have a few hundred hours of power outage per year?
Around here, the power is so stable that we go multiple years without an outage that lasts longer than a few seconds.
If I installed a generator it wouldn’t a couple hundred hours per year. It wouldn’t run at all for years at a time unless I manually exercised it as yet another maintenance task for my already too long list of things to maintain.
You're sadly describing my situation. Dec sees 6 hours of light, less even, and while the sun does get above the horizon, it doesn't get over the top of the forest.
(The trees have no leaves, but there's still a lot of tree trunks between me and sun.)
Bah.
Not without exception; there's some draw down after dinner even on the charge up sunny months. But a couple kWh against a 1MW pack is not super super notable. If it were cycle count alone degrading battery it'd still be an almost 5000 year battery (before becoming a 0.8MW battery).
As others are pointing out, we have stabilized chemistries even more, so 5k cycles is pretty low at this point.
https://enron.com/pages/the-egg?srsltid=AfmBOoqW03cqyIhQ0OlG...
Because of this, it feels like we should already have enough transmission capacity in a decent part of the network to cope with a re-organisation of where the sources and sinks are placed. Yes, we might need to do some work in the last mile, especially if V2G takes off, but things aren't nearly as bad as one might naively assume.
[1] https://www.nationalgrid.com/stories/journey-to-net-zero-sto...
[2] https://www.neso.energy/news/britains-electricity-explained-...
Your sources really only apply to Britain and other deïndustrialising countries. American and European energy demand is rising due to electrification and AI.
Yes.
I accept that AI is likely to take us in the wrong direction for a while. (I don't think it will actually be that long, once people realise that more training isn't getting more results.)
https://yle-fi.translate.goog/a/74-20138415?_x_tr_sl=auto&_x...
It was actually 1000 times that much.
They also test and publish yearly the latest battery combos.
Being 100% independent is just completely unnecessary.
I concluded that we're all going to need much bigger gardens.
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