Forecasting Us Recessions in Real-Time Using Regional Economic Sentiment
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Economic ForecastingNatural Language ProcessingRecession Prediction
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Economic Forecasting
Natural Language Processing
Recession Prediction
A study uses regional economic sentiment extracted from the Beige Book to forecast US recessions, but notes that the model's reliability has decreased since 2021. The discussion highlights the challenges in predicting economic downturns.
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Nov 11, 2025 at 10:21 AM EST
2 months ago
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ID: 45888289Type: storyLast synced: 11/17/2025, 6:00:52 AM
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Paper: https://www.clevelandfed.org/publications/economic-commentar... | https://www.clevelandfed.org/-/media/project/clevelandfedten... [pdf] | https://doi.org/10.26509/frbc-ec-202513