Study of 1m-Year-Old Skull Points to Earlier Origins of Modern Humans
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A new study suggests that modern humans may have originated earlier than previously thought, based on the analysis of a 1M-year-old skull, sparking discussion on the implications for our understanding of human evolution and the 'Out of Africa' theory.
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OOA (with minor admixture) is the consensus position for a lot of excellent reasons.
There is an assumption that belief in, or even reasonable agnosticism towards, any other theory can only be motivated by racism.
There are many people that believe OOA because they want to believe it, because they want to believe we are all more similar than we are different, etc.
Multiregional hypotheses are perfectly plausible. We have very limited information one way or another. Out of Africa may be more likely but it is far from certain.
But, also, There are many people that [do not] believe OOA because they [do not] want to believe it.
That's why we look at genetic evidence, to eliminate nonsense. That evidence strongly points to chimps, gorillas, humans etc all coming from the same place.
If it makes you feels better, think of it this way:
we don't believe OOA because the evidence says we're related to blacks. We believe it because the evidence says we're pretty much hairless apes. (And a lot of us aren't even hairless!)
There, feel better about it now?
No. Non-African humans have genetic lineages that do not occur anywhere in Africa.
This doesn't mean OOA is necessarily false, but does makes it much less likely.
Also, lumping in primates is a red herring. The resolution of our gene clade knowledge doesn't go that far back. Dreaming about some hypothetical ape ancestor is a vibe, not a science.
This is completely and unequivocally rejected by the genetic evidence. The evidence is so absolutely overwhelming that even fucking Wolpoff came around and now says:
Now, if you mean something completely different to the commonly understood definition of multiregionalism, I'm willing to hear it.It isn't really. Serious historians and geneticists take great issue with it.
It's only really the pop-anthropologists (the non-rigorous social science ones) who think OOA is a settled issue.
But if you're genuinely trying to say that the broad strokes out of africa model isn't consensus, I have no idea what you're talking about. Just to make sure I haven't missed some momentous event since the last time I was doing fieldwork, I even checked some unpublished books, review papers, and actual research. They all talk about OOA as completely settled or instead simply assume it.
Is this like a CAS thing? Truly baffled.
Basically the only reason a Kuhnian paradigm shift isn't happening is because of American politics; OOA is needed to debunk some stupid 19th century American racial theories. (Theories that the rest of the world doesn't even know or care about.)
Which stupid racial theories do you think African origin is trying to debunk and why would the many European researchers working on human origins care?
But more importantly for this conversation, our brains use up a staggering 20-25% of our resting metabolic needs. A whale brain uses something like 3%.
For us to be able to devote 20% of our calories to our brains, we simply needed to have a huge excess in the number of calories we had available. This is why the cooking hypothesis makes sense. Once we were smart enough to get lots of excess calories, that opened the door to this new fitness landscape of organisms that could devote a ridiculous proportion of their food to their brains. It wasn't that we gave up something else, it's that this wasn't even a possibility before.
Is GPU already the metaphor du jour? I thought we were still aboard the steam engine ;)
There's a different way to think about this that is closer to how evolution actually works and will make the answer clear.
Our common ancestor (common to orangutans and humans) did evolve intelligence (concurrently with harnessing fire, clothing etc.). Not all of them, but some of them. And they broke off from the group. We now call them humans.
“Humans have visited the Moon and sent human-made spacecraft to other celestial bodies, becoming the first known species to do so.”
How would we know if we’re the first known anything? You don’t know what you don’t know, as they say.
Well, that's false. But we killed off/interbred with all of the peer/near-peer species.
It's possible that selective pressure towards intelligence was greater for the human lineage than for the others. It's also possible that the evolution of intelligence was equally likely across the different lineages and humans just happened to be the one where the mutation happened. Regardless, once human ancestors filled the niche, it would have been difficult for another lineage to get in on the game.
By any useful definition, the intelligence of human ancestors very closely resembled that of chimps for about 4 million years after the human and chimp lineages diverged. While it's impossible to say for certain, that's around the time that endocranial volumes started growing consistently beyond the range seen in chimps. That is also around the time of the first evidence of stone tool making.
As far as we can tell, no branch developed significantly increased intelligence after splitting off from our own lineage. That's not to say it definitely didn't happen or that our lineage was always the smartest, just that there isn't any evidence demonstrating a qualitative difference which has survived to the present. But it's weird that no such evidence exists.
Conversely different primate groups did independently evolve similar levels of intelligence, like Capuchin monkeys (which are new world primates) developed their intelligence after splitting off from the old world primates some 40 million years ago. Baboons and Macaques likewise each evolved intelligence independent of the great apes. Likewise similar levels (if different specializations) of intelligence have evolved independently outside the primates, such as cetaceans, elephants, and corvids. For cephalopods, which likewise are highly intelligent, their common ancestor with us didn't even have a brain.
So why didn't chimps get some of them?
For example, chimps have hands, but do not exhibit anywhere near the dexterity and agility of human hands.
Now if these costs are indeed less than the fitness advantage of a chimp having more dexterous hands, and that is in biological fitness as in reproductive success not the colloquial 'fitness' as in going to the gym, and that mutation for dexterous hands is present among the breeding population, you will expect to see offspring with that mutation, having higher fitness, to increase in frequency in the population.
There are a lot of potential edge cases to consider as well. Maybe the dexterous hands allele is very close to a very bad allele in chimps, such that through recombination it is likely that these two alleles are inherited together (called linkage). You'd see both these alleles purged from the population over time through purifying selection.
There is the population history aspect to consider. Maybe you don't need dexterous hands if your population is still living in the jungle among plentiful calories like the chimpanzee. Maybe it is more relevant to comparatively more feeble humans that were pushed out of that jungle by physically stronger ape populations into more nutrient poor environments, where suddenly the increased fitness from the advantages dexterous hands might bring now pay for their energy costs.
The chimps that did get them we now call humans.
There were no chimps back then. We had a shared common ancestor, and subgroups gradually emerged and gradually became different enough that they stopped interbreeding (or were physically separated).
So it's not just brainpower, it's likely a combination of potential brainpower - which many species have/had - and fine motor control, which set up feedback loop that translated a mind/body synergy into practical evolutionary benefits.
This of course changes the question as to why only/mainly homo erectus developed the capability.
All of the great apes are incredibly intelligent in comparison to most other animals. The basic roots of our intelligence are probably a common feature to the whole family, but there's no consensus on why it's so advanced in humans. Any paleoanthropologist can rattle off about half a dozen possible explanations, but we honestly don't have enough evidence to really distinguish if, when, and how these were factors at different points in human evolution. Here's a quick attempt at some broad categories, which each have multiple hypotheses within them:
* Because intelligence had advantages for individual selection (e.g. mimetic recall hypothesis)
* Because intelligence had advantages for group selection
* Because intelligence had advantages for sexual selection (spandrel hypotheses often start here)
* Because adapting to rapidly varying ecological conditions required so many adaptations that we crossed some kind of barrier and "fell into" intelligence
* Because intelligence helped with foraging/hunting (exclusive of sociality)
And same really goes for other niches we do not even occupy. You need to get something out of those expensive to keep brains.
I dunno ... 10 bits/second ain't so lavish...
Less extinction, and more evolution.
One of my pet theories is that it may be related to vocal cord development[0], where losing certain physiology that allows apes to be louder allowed humans to be more specific, if quieter, with enhanced pitch control and stability offering higher information density communication. This unlocks more complex societal interactions and detailed shared maps. (In Iain McGilchrist’s terms, it let the Emissary—the part of the brain shown to specialize in classification and pattern recognition, the requisite building blocks for efficient communication—to take priority.)
This is an example highlighting how it is not about individual humans “becoming smarter”, evolving larger brains, etc., but rather about humans becoming capable of working together in more sophisticated ways. In fact, human brain shrunk in the last few thousands of years, in concert with growing size of our societies and labour specialization[1], which in turn in no small part is helped by communication density offered by our vocal cords. Really, humans in this way are closer ants[2], where being part of human community is the defining part of our nature.
[0] https://www.theguardian.com/science/2022/aug/11/how-quirk-of...
[1] https://www.bbc.com/future/article/20240517-the-human-brain-...
[2] Ants that farm and have stronger division of labour have smaller brains: https://www.smithsonianmag.com/science-nature/how-ants-becam...
Your idea would be what's called a spandrel hypothesis, basically that language (or culture etc) is a side effect of other adaptive traits.
As to “side effect”, given better communication and consequently cooperation and potential for more complex collectives lead to persistent survival of the species in the environment, they seem like a pretty straightforward evolutionary advantage that would be expected to be naturally selected for in the first place. If anything, chances are in long term the great larynx update is the real side effect, it just happened to be a trait enabling all the above evolutionary advantages.
I've read, from a few separate sources that were not research papers, something similar that claimed the development was a result of existing in semi-aquatic environments such as home on land but swimming for food/safety. I neither agree or disagree (not my field, I don't possess appropriate background/information), but I do think of it when evolution of vocal cords is mentioned.
I don't recall the sources ATM, possibly something out of CoEvolution Quarterly or Bucky Fuller. Again, not research papers.
The stone tools that predate this by a few million years reinforce the cooked food hypothesis in this 'chicken or egg' situation.
That means, if a trait is unaffected by the environment, then there's no attribution of why it developed; this is the default state.
I feel often in biology, there's a mindset of figuring out why features developed and that's great for pushing the field but it runs into a limit. Not every trait developed from a environmental pressure.
I don't agree and that's totally fine-- we have millions of gene edits from parent to child and not every change is environment-selected. Certain features can be dominant by the mechanics of genes, not due to selective pressure.
Blood types are an example of this-- they aren't major environmental pressures for why one blood type is more common than others, it mostly comes down to population mechanics.
My belief is that "spandrel" features are less selected for studies because they have a harder burden to prove; there exists no external reason they exist and this must be verified through proof by contradiction. Its a high bar to prove.
But also, I guess by "feature" I tend to mean "noticeable feature". You might be more right about that, at least as far as terminology goes. At the bottom end you have a point mutation to a codon for the same amino acid, and then eventually you get something like a slightly different color pattern. Those are probably free.
But as soon as you have to, say, add or increase the size of a physical feature, there's a metabolic cost. And when those features aren't used, that (small!) cost drives them to disappear in relatively short order (for instance, all the convergently legless lizards). That strongly implies that for those, there needs to be a persistent reason for them to keep existing.
Entirely aside, I wonder how long we need to have blood transfusions as part of society before blood type compatibility starts exerting selective pressure.
1. Survival is easier in groups
2. In order to survive in groups, we need to communicate
3. We communicate using language
4. Language is directly linked with intelligence
See how computers started displaying intelligence when we taught them our language
It's actually quite difficult to define human intelligence. Every time we think we find something unique by humans eventually some animal turns up that can do it too. It may be all just a question of degree and how it's used.
Some great apes can learn to use symbols for communication. Bees can use specific dances to indicate direction and distance.
Starting from what should be considered "writing" to how to identify specific artifacts as abstract words.
Some researchers spend years in the forest studying one animal to isolate one single word they're speaking. Understanding other kind of intelligences is a crazy complex task.
(I'm no expert, so take that with a grain of salt.)
As does house finches: https://royalsocietypublishing.org/doi/full/10.1098/rspb.202...
Sperm whale codas exhibit contextual and combinatorial structure: https://www.nature.com/articles/s41467-024-47221-8
Ants have developed symbolic language: https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC10093743/
Everywhere we look close enough, we find life doing smart things.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Waggle_dance?wprov=sfla1
What would "intelligence" look like WHILE it was evolving?
A slightly more unsettling thought: How would newly-emerging intelligence FEEL like, internally?
Also, how would humans fare if born and raised in the wild, without any language or tools taught to them?
No I mean absolutely zero contact with or help from modern (say since the last 10,000 years) human civilization.
I mean literally giving birth in a forest and then raising the baby there without ever speaking a word around it or showing it any tools etc.
(this assumes that it will survive to 1-2 years old without any fatal sickness etc. but let's say that the mother/parents will get just enough "outside" help to make sure it does, but the baby itself is not to come in contact with any tech or language)
Every one of our evolutionary ancestors was the best human yet, just like we are.
No no no, I don't mean going from already intelligent/sentient/sapient to MORE intelligent….
I mean, going from the levels of intelligence/awareness we see in insects → fish → chickens and cattle → monkeys/apes → what we consider "actual" intelligence as seen in humans.
Evolution of anything is obviously not some simple boolean switch: It's not like one day you're a full fish and the next day you give birth to an amphibian with legs.
But how would the gradual evolution of intelligence look and feel like?
Going from what we consider animals to be, to having awareness and introspective thoughts and future planning?
Is it like, do you have just 1 thought per day at first,
or can only count up to 3 for a few thousand years,
only plan for up to 1 day ahead, and remember that plan for only a few hours…
And when do all the clearly self-destructive things kick in, that we Modern Humans™ do that obviously harm individuals and the species? :)
Humans have the gift of understanding, but our lives are filled with things we either don’t really understand or that we have an illusion of understanding. Of course, we wonder “why does evil exist?” whereas cats wonder “when is dinnertime?”
The answer is mutations sometimes specific members of a group will gain a mutation that will overtime cause that group to split off away from the ancestor group. It’s all a matter of chance evolution doesn’t have a direction.
which is the point. They were not evolved from the same species of land animal.
[1] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Feral_child
If you had a bunch of human children together and provided them sustenance and all that without adult interaction they might still develop normally and form their own language and means of communication with each other.
We don’t know for sure because such an experiment would be horrible and extremely immoral. However I do remember reading a while back that a similar situation happened where a bunch of deaf children in a an environment without much adult interaction did manage to create their own sign language to communicate with each other.
So it seems the feral child phenomena might be due to the fact that the child is alone rather than simply due to the child not having adult interaction.
You probably had Nicaraguan Sign Language [1] in mind. I think it’s a good example of the human brain’s ability to invent something and acquire knowledge easily. What I tried to show with my comment is that when human intelligence is discussed, it’s easy to refer to all instances of human achievements around us, but they are essentially accumulated cultural knowledge. Because of this, we tend to overestimate our intelligence, at least when comparing an individual human with an individual primate of another kind.
So, it’s also interesting why humans are probably unique in this ability to pass on and accumulate information, while other apes (and crows) limit this to skills like retrieving ants with sticks and breaking shells with stones.
[1] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Nicaraguan_Sign_Language
How much of the intelligence gap is culture and communication that lets us educate ourselves and compound knowledge vs biology? Homo lived for thousands and thousands of years with the same level of development as other apes
Humans are a protected species, carefully raised and nurtured by higher organisms that are hundred thousand times larger than us (in terms of space and time). The earth and solar system is just a vivarium of galactic scale. Several "glass wall" mechanisms were placed to ensure we are separated from the rest of the universe, like the oort cloud.
Somewhere out there in the universe are humans living freely outside the glass wall.
As time goes on, the glass walls tend to age and occasionally the "cracks" allows external lifeforms (aliens) to slip past the protection layer, much like how insects or parasites would occasionally slip past any opening.
With this in mind, there would be two types of aliens/visitors to our enclosure: (1) lifeforms that are similar to humans in terms of size and biological complexity but more technologically advanced and (2) our protectors who are incomprehensibly larger and more complex than any life on earth. This isn't as outlandish as it seems to be considering there are stars that are million times larger than our own sun.
This sheer difference in scale might as well make the protectors exist in a different dimension. This explains why people would say that aliens were here all this time, but from another dimension. Technically they are here, but more accurately to say the protectors surround us.
Occasionally protectors would step in to prevent mankind from destroying their own enclosure, much like a terrarium owner would reach into the enclosure to remove unwanted organisms. Frequent unidentified sightings on nuclear sites is the protectors' way of peeking and reaching a "hand".
It remains to be seen if humanity would one day evolve to outgrow the enclosure.
And they still are alongside us right now. Which to me is fascinating.
Survival of the fittest never includes the gene impacts plants and fungi can force onto creatures.
Also cyclical 12kyr catastrophic events leading to small condensation of species under stress.
We destroyed the many other humanoid/intelligent species, who did compete with us.
The other apes are intelligent enough for their niche. At some point in humanity's past, the environment was harsh enough that the less intelligent ones died.
Imagine this: among primates, there is an even distribution of species of differing levels of intelligence. All the primates who became intelligent have similar evolution paths because intelligence defines their evolution path (opposable thumbs, large heads, standing upright, etc.) Then because they all have similar evolution paths we put all those into the genus “Homo.” Each of species of the genus Homo eventually either breeds with each other or genocides one another until there are only the Homo Sapiens left.
So with an even distribution of intelligence among all primates, it’s logical that, given enough time, all that is left are primates of sufficient intelligence enough to breed with each other or be genocided until there is only one species, or many species of primates who weren’t intelligent enough.
This is my guess (I’m not a biologist or ancient historian or anything)
Drive-by anti-intellectualism like this is the death of interesting conversation, truly.
That is when they're not outright fabricating data, and having their colleagues cover for them (at Harvard):
In or before 2020, graduate student Zoé Ziani developed concerns about the validity of results from a highly publicized paper by Gino about personal networking. According to Ziani, she was strongly warned by her academic advisers not to criticize Gino, and two members of her dissertation committee refused to approve her thesis unless she deleted criticism of Gino's paper from it. - https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Francesca_Gino
Distrust is science, deferring to authority without a good reason is anti-intellectualism.
What is being criticized here is an attitude that believes one is the only one capable of critical thinking and that everyone else is just an idiot who is already overwhelmed by the task of tying their shoelaces in the morning. This is simply arrogance and has little to do with constructiveness, let alone scientific ethos. You treat yourself to that little dopamine rush of saying “ackchyually” and then just carry on playing Bubble Shooter on your phone.
This is very common here on HN. And when this ultimately hardens into blanket skepticism toward institutions, you are closer to the flat-earthers than to the scientists.
While it's obvious that everybody makes mistakes and has blind spots, I'd wager that, in general, being more knowledgeable gives you better tools to spot actual holes.
And sure, experts too can be narrow-minded and smug. Just like everybody else.
Being an expert always adds a big weakness: You get paid to do this so you are biased.
So no, they are not "just like everybody else", they have spent more time on it so they know some things better, but you can't get away from biases that comes from being paid to do something and that makes experts worse at some other things.
And we make myriad daily mistakes because of them. Most have no real negative consequences, so we don't correct.
No they don't. That never happens. Would you expect someone who knows nothing about programming to identify flaws in a computer language?
Of course not. You expect it will be people who actually understand the field that can identify issues.
You should sit in some academic meetings and paper drafting e-mail chains! There’s a degree of believing the best in people but in my experience that can unfortunately be misplaced in science.
But it is a thing and you need to be aware of it. A result from China which seems to support an out of China theory rather than an out of Africa theory, I am immediately suspicious of.
And you know, just because you and I don't bristle at the thought of descending from ancient Kenyans, lots of other people all over the world do. It's not just "regular" racists, also a lot of e.g. indigenous protected groups.
Sure, modern homo sapiens outside of Africa are all descendants of a founding group that left Africa, but they are also descendants of hominids who returned to Africa from elsewhere as well as local hominid populations that had left Africa far earlier (like Neanderthals and Denisovans).
It’s that kind of reasoning that makes it important to try and be accurate here. Not a fact in isolation but everything else that it implies.
I agree with you on the Sinophobia, but interest in the British royal family/British history generally and interest in Irish heritage are extremely common among groups of Americans. Most British visitors to the US can attest to how their accent is interpreted and affects treatment, in a positive sense, too.
https://news.ycombinator.com/newsguidelines.html
It's true that China has a lot of affection for the Out of Asia theory of human origin, and to this day there are museums dedicated to the Peking Man that are at the very least heavily suggestive of this, or at least of China's population having a distinct origin.
Cf. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Peking_Man
Books and reams of sociology papers can and have been written about the relationship between CCP policy and the Peking Man and the CCPs difficulty with adjusting to today's generally preferred Out of Africa theory, and the effect on Chinese scientists working in anthropology. HN favorite Jimmy Maher (Digital/Analog Antiquarian) has a lovely line of free amateur history books including an excellent one on China that has a chapter on this:
https://analog-antiquarian.net/2022/01/14/chapter-2-origin-s...
I think it's a useful approach to contemporary Chinese identity. Nothing anti about that, any good-natured attempt to grok China would include this, just as no diatribe on America is complete without mentioning the 30-something % of Americans who state belief in some form of Creationism when polled.
Did you actually read the article? Nowhere does it suggest that anyone is claiming that China is the origin of Homo Sapiens. This million old skull discovered in China is not Homo Sapien, but related to Denisoven. It’s scientifically interesting since it suggests two things
1. Homo sapiens have existed longer than we previously thought.
2. Homo Sapiens may have come out of Western Asia, not Africa. But China is not in West Asia…
Please find other articles to fit into your the-Chinese-are-supremacist narrative. This one is not relevant.
I'm not an anthropologist and not even close, so a lot of uninformed opinions:
It has a few nice photos of the skull. It looks quite complete. 90%? And the reconstruction look accurate for my untrained eye, because there are few parts to guess, specially if you assume the skull is (almost) symmetrical.
I'm not sure if it's possible to cheat and give it an additional 1% or 2% of brain volume, but I guess it's not possible to give it a 10% more brain volume. Anyway, the volume is quite small compared to modern humans, that is not surprising because it's quite old.
IIUC figure 4 shows 3 big branches: Neanderthal (Europe???), Longi (Asia???) and Sapiens (Africa???). (Add a fee "???" here if necessary.) And the new fossil is in the "Longi" branch.
So as you say it may be an older than expected side chain, or something like that.
[Happy to get any corrections or more details.]
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