Fill Probability Estimates in Institutional Bond Trading with Quantum Computers
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arxiv.orgResearchstory
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Quantum ComputingFinancial ModelingBond Trading
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Quantum Computing
Financial Modeling
Bond Trading
A research paper explores using quantum computers to estimate fill probability in institutional bond trading, sparking discussion on the potential applications and limitations of this approach.
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Sep 24, 2025 at 8:32 PM EDT
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(not a mathematician, and happy to be shot down in flames)
Since most systems looking at generalised QC want to minimise noise, and it's only the systems which do Quantum Annealing which "work" right now, I'd say this is a niche use case which will make a lot of money, right up to the point the cost of the machine drops so everyone does it, and then the market is back where it needs to be: equally available to all players, at least "all players who can afford time on a QC which does QA"
https://www.hsbc.com/news-and-views/news/media-releases/2025...